Quote from fenn68 on July 6, 2019, 12:56 pm

Jankowski is about up to full speed in his rehab ... would not be surprised to see him recalled after the All-Star break (and the struggling Naylor sent down). Could be reason for optimism:

vs. RHP:

Jankowski (in 2018) .... 276/345/391

Margot (in 2019) .......... 207/252/371

that should generate a lot more OBP resulting in more offense without sacrificing defense in CF.

vs LHP neither are compelling but

Jankowski (in 2018) .... 188/278/234 will not justify him as a regular and at least Margot is better by maybe .100 OPS .... so a CF platoon really upgrades the offense and maintains a quality defense.

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side note: not sure why the kept Naylor up so long ... a poor defensive corner OF whose value should have been a LHH vs RHP but in reality he only delivered a 213/280/314 slash line ... would have been better off with Pirela for the last couple of months.

Quote from fenn68 on July 6, 2019, 1:03 pm

Along the same lines ... over the past 30 games:

Mejia ....... 37 AB .... 270/341/459

Hedges .... 57 AB .... 158/186/211

Can't see Hedges' defense offsetting that offensive gap to the level justifying getting him more playing time than Mejia ... especially if the Padres are trying to keep in wild card contention. Padres are not a good hitting team and need all the offensive boost they can muster.

Playing Mejia more and going to a Jankowski / Margot platoon in CF after the All-Star break would make sense just based on simple stats. Focus on Renfroe and Reyes in the corners (both hitting well in the past 30) and just let Myers be the "as needed" in the corners / 1B until they know they are out of contention.

Quote from BoosterSD on July 6, 2019, 9:12 pm

What percentage of Renfroe's HRs are late and close? It has to be really impressive number I would think.

Quote from 3fingersplit on July 6, 2019, 10:36 pm

Quote from BoosterSD on July 6, 2019, 9:12 pm

What percentage of Renfroe's HRs are late and close? It has to be really impressive number I would think.

I think I saw that half of his HR's are in the 7th inning or later. The guy just seems to thrive on late in the game, close contest type of opportunities.

This is a guy that you build your outfield around and let him play 150 games a year.....there are at least 25 MLB teams that would love to have him and that's why the Padres should NOT even think about trading him.

I don't know where his 27 HR stand in relation to other players in MLB but these kind of guys don't grow on trees and the Padres don't have ANYBODY even close to Renfroes complete game......Reyes....No,  Naylor....No , Meyers....No, Margot....No and nothing that is even close to being Major League ready in the minors.

I think it's great Hunter is playing the way I always thought he could/would.....just keep putting his name in the line-up everyday

Quote from Alex Tamayo on July 7, 2019, 4:12 pm

Quote from Alex Tamayo on July 4, 2019, 8:38 pm

So, I guess is gonna be 42-48 at the break, is that better than previous years?

Nice series win, 45-45 at the break, you can thank me later for this, have a good one guys

Quote from fenn68 on July 7, 2019, 7:55 pm

First time since 2010 the Padres made the break at .500 or better. Things are looking up since this is being done with younger players under control for years to come.

A quick look at the Wild Card picture at the break ... there is a chance for the Padres by comparing losses for the contenders:

42 ... WASH (WC #1)

43 ... PHIL (WC #2)

44 ... MILW and STL

45 ... SD, AZ, COLO, and PITT

46 ... CINN

48 ... SF

Basically SD is only 2 games behind with nearly 3 months to play ... but we are talking about 10 teams plus the 3 Division leaders in the mix for the playoffs which should make this impossible to predict with anyone having a mega win streak pushing in or a mega losing streak fading out. Yes, amazingly even SF who has be much better in the past few weeks not really out of it.

Important July and likely a very contentious August / Sept for a lot of teams.

Quote from fenn68 on July 8, 2019, 7:58 am

Be prepared for a "false positive" in July. Padres are at .500 and looking at their July schedule going forward a very good chance the end the month over .500 and maybe even in a Wild Card slot (given they are only 2 out in the loss column). Consider the remaining July schedule:

Teams > .500: 3 games with Atlanta (Home) and 3 games with the Cubs (Away) BUT

Teams < .500: 3 games with Miami (Away), 3 games with the Mets (Away), 3 games with SF (Home), and 2 games with Baltimore (Home).

So, 6 games with "better" teams and 11 games with "lesser" teams SHOULD yield results that vault the Padres well over .500 and MAYBE into that Wild Card berth.

If that is the way it plays out ... not going to see the Padres as sellers. Word of caution .... August / September are much more challenging  with a stronger slate of opponents, so???????

Quote from 3fingersplit on July 8, 2019, 11:16 am

Long term projection is a waste of time.....stay in the moment

The Pads are at .500 at the break so just enjoy the fact that they have played pretty good baseball so far this year. The pitching staff has been better than expected and these guys look like they are having fun which makes for a good time for everybody.

July , August, Sept.......most important game they play is the next one to get the MO going again.

Most people around baseball probably didn't think the Padres would be where they are right now and that's a credit to the players that AJ has put together on this team.......Just enjoy the moment

Go Pads !!!!!

Quote from BoosterSD on July 8, 2019, 11:57 am

3 Fingers, I agree and we should all be enjoying the ASB and happy with a young club that is exceeding expectations so far this season.

With that being said, you also need to look to the future and do whats best for 2020 and 2021. Which IMO, if they get the right deal, is to not push for this season and trade Yates. The right haul could really help with the holes that SD has for the 2020 season and beyond. And IMO, the biggest hole is CF.