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Ryan Weathers

For the record, from today's DFR ...

Since taking a step back because of a dead arm a few weeks ago, Ryan Weathers has been throwing in the low 90s as compared to the mid-90s at the beginning of the year.  In his first seven starts, he gave up a total of six earned runs in 30.1 innings.  In his last two starts, he has given up seven earned runs in 5.2 innings.  Weathers is only 19, and at this time last year, he was going through his graduation ceremony in Loretto, Tennessee so he might just be tired, instead of hurt.  As of a few days ago, his manager has said he was fine.

From yesterday's DFR ...

LHP Ryan Weathers struggled Friday night and took the loss. Weathers allowed four earned runs and eight hits in three innings. Weathers’ velocity was down quite a bit from earlier in the season; he sat at 87-89 mph, which was about 2-4 mph from where he was in the spring and earlier this season. Over his last four starts, Weathers has allowed 11 earned runs in 11.2 innings. As of now, the organization maintains that he is healthy but the diminished velocity is certainly a concern.

... certainly a concern!

Left handed Quantril?

From today's DFR ...

When we saw Weathers at the end of spring training, he was sitting 91-92 and topping out at 95.  Wednesday, broadcasters had him sitting 88-89 and topping out at 91.  That dip in velocity, even with solid secondary pitches, meant Weathers struggled for most of the night. 

I like today's DFR ...

The two top prep lefties from last year’s draft faced off against each other and the TinCaps’ Ryan Weathers outperformed Bowling Green’s Matthew Liberatore. Early on it looked like Liberatore had the advantage as Weathers allowed multiple baserunners in each of the first two innings. But the second runner Weathers permitted in the second was the last to reach base against the 19-year-old.  He retired the side in the next three innings (10 in a row total), while Liberatore allowed three straight two out runs in the third inning. That rally included Tucupita Marcano taking home on the front half of a double steal.  Liberatore allowed another run in the fifth, while Weathers struck out the last two batters he faced.  Weathers has now gone three straight starts of at least five innings allowing two or fewer runs.

My gut still says that Liberatore will be better than Weathers ... and I hope I'm wrong 🙂

From today's DFR ...

LHP Ryan Weathers finished an uneven year that has included flashes of brilliance but only so-so overall results. Weathers allowed 10 hits and three earned runs in five innings Friday and will finish his first pro season with a 3.84 ERA in 96 innings. After a very good April, Weathers faded a bit in the season’s second half and showed some inconsistency with his fastball velocity. Weathers should be able to handle a 120-130 inning workload next season.

So ... he's not close to Padres' Top 10, right?

Quote from LynchMob on July 25, 2019, 3:11 pm

I like today's DFR ...

The two top prep lefties from last year’s draft faced off against each other and the TinCaps’ Ryan Weathers outperformed Bowling Green’s Matthew Liberatore. Early on it looked like Liberatore had the advantage as Weathers allowed multiple baserunners in each of the first two innings. But the second runner Weathers permitted in the second was the last to reach base against the 19-year-old.  He retired the side in the next three innings (10 in a row total), while Liberatore allowed three straight two out runs in the third inning. That rally included Tucupita Marcano taking home on the front half of a double steal.  Liberatore allowed another run in the fifth, while Weathers struck out the last two batters he faced.  Weathers has now gone three straight starts of at least five innings allowing two or fewer runs.

My gut still says that Liberatore will be better than Weathers ... and I hope I'm wrong 🙂

You will notice that Liberator is ranked much higher on prospect lists. Weather's ceiling is mid-rotation starter. Liberator could be a #2, or even a #1. Weather's is just more likely to reach his ceiling. I personally would have very much preferred they had taken Liberator. The Padres seem to be more willing to take legacies like Quantrill and Weathers, guys that are more likely to reach the majors, than they have in the past. I can remember sooo many top-of-the-draft, high upside guys from our minors who never made it. Maybe they just don't want to take those chances as much anymore.

Quote from LynchMob on August 31, 2019, 9:48 pm

From today's DFR ...

LHP Ryan Weathers finished an uneven year that has included flashes of brilliance but only so-so overall results. Weathers allowed 10 hits and three earned runs in five innings Friday and will finish his first pro season with a 3.84 ERA in 96 innings. After a very good April, Weathers faded a bit in the season’s second half and showed some inconsistency with his fastball velocity. Weathers should be able to handle a 120-130 inning workload next season.

So ... he's not close to Padres' Top 10, right?

MLB.com has him 7 in our system.  He's definitely not top 5, but off top of my head he's somewhere in the 6-10 range in system with massive graduations, even with CJ Abrams & X Edwards leapfrogging him.

Quote from JasonE135 on September 2, 2019, 10:45 pm
Quote from LynchMob on July 25, 2019, 3:11 pm

I like today's DFR ...

The two top prep lefties from last year’s draft faced off against each other and the TinCaps’ Ryan Weathers outperformed Bowling Green’s Matthew Liberatore. Early on it looked like Liberatore had the advantage as Weathers allowed multiple baserunners in each of the first two innings. But the second runner Weathers permitted in the second was the last to reach base against the 19-year-old.  He retired the side in the next three innings (10 in a row total), while Liberatore allowed three straight two out runs in the third inning. That rally included Tucupita Marcano taking home on the front half of a double steal.  Liberatore allowed another run in the fifth, while Weathers struck out the last two batters he faced.  Weathers has now gone three straight starts of at least five innings allowing two or fewer runs.

My gut still says that Liberatore will be better than Weathers ... and I hope I'm wrong 🙂

You will notice that Liberator is ranked much higher on prospect lists. Weather's ceiling is mid-rotation starter. Liberator could be a #2, or even a #1. Weather's is just more likely to reach his ceiling. I personally would have very much preferred they had taken Liberator. The Padres seem to be more willing to take legacies like Quantrill and Weathers, guys that are more likely to reach the majors, than they have in the past. I can remember sooo many top-of-the-draft, high upside guys from our minors who never made it. Maybe they just don't want to take those chances as much anymore.

I liked Liberator as well, he is a good kid, I enjoyed watching him grow as a kid and a player. And would have enjoyed watching him come up through the SD system.

Quote from Brian Connelly on September 3, 2019, 11:49 am
Quote from LynchMob on August 31, 2019, 9:48 pm

From today's DFR ...

LHP Ryan Weathers finished an uneven year that has included flashes of brilliance but only so-so overall results. Weathers allowed 10 hits and three earned runs in five innings Friday and will finish his first pro season with a 3.84 ERA in 96 innings. After a very good April, Weathers faded a bit in the season’s second half and showed some inconsistency with his fastball velocity. Weathers should be able to handle a 120-130 inning workload next season.

So ... he's not close to Padres' Top 10, right?

MLB.com has him 7 in our system.  He's definitely not top 5, but off top of my head he's somewhere in the 6-10 range in system with massive graduations, even with CJ Abrams & X Edwards leapfrogging him.

Ah, good list to start the conversation with ... http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2019?list=sd

Personally, I'd slot Weathers after Oliveras @ 17 ... and I'd not be offended with him being lower (after Head @ 20, for example).