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2023 offseason

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Quote from Henry Silvestre on February 14, 2023, 2:24 pm
Quote from MrPadre19 on February 14, 2023, 10:46 am
Quote from Henry Silvestre on February 14, 2023, 9:19 am

I think a more realistic trade might involve Morejon and perhaps Crismatt, perhaps for a Lizarraga type #7-#10 org spec SP BUT closer to MLB like AA or starting at AA in 23

That would open a roster spot but wouldn't help keep us under the CBT...depending on what we're giving Wacha but we have to be paying him what......$8mil?

 

Didn't mean from a CBT perspective, especially for Crismatt ..more so on losing him if DFA cause he didn't make the 26.. Morejon as an upside good trade value move.. like Fenn mentioned maybe a AA or AAA "blocked" C prospect who is decent not elite... with a look at 2024...

If money is the issue Garcia $3.5 probably has the best Value/$$relief combo of all our Pitchers ... Pomz could with a strong healthy ST.. upside wise and trade value maybe Morejon/Baez carry the most value, without hurting the 2023 BP much..

I was quite pleased to discover that Honeywell still has an option year. This signing wouldn't have made sense otherwise. I expect every relief pitcher with any options remaining to end up in the minors as depth for the season, unless any of the relievers without options fall flat on their face or get injured in spring training.

Starters

1. Darvish

2. Snell

3. Musgrove

4. Martinez

5. Lugo

6. Wacha

Relievers 

1. Hader

2. Suarez

3. Garcia

4. Pomeranz

5. Hill

6. Crismatt

The #7 spot in the bullpen will likely go to Lopez since he is a rule #5 selection and we cannot option him without losing him. If he shows any promise he will make the team. I expect all of the pitcher with options remaining: Castillo, Baez, Avila, Kerr, Knehr, Weathers, Wilson and Cosgrove to begin the season in the minors and be competing with each other to be the first one called up. Same thing for Morejon, Honeywell and Groome. I expect them to start in the minors and build up their innings to be ready to start when needed.

 

 

Quote from JasonE135 on February 14, 2023, 2:43 pm
Quote from Henry Silvestre on February 14, 2023, 2:24 pm
Quote from MrPadre19 on February 14, 2023, 10:46 am
Quote from Henry Silvestre on February 14, 2023, 9:19 am

I think a more realistic trade might involve Morejon and perhaps Crismatt, perhaps for a Lizarraga type #7-#10 org spec SP BUT closer to MLB like AA or starting at AA in 23

That would open a roster spot but wouldn't help keep us under the CBT...depending on what we're giving Wacha but we have to be paying him what......$8mil?

 

Didn't mean from a CBT perspective, especially for Crismatt ..more so on losing him if DFA cause he didn't make the 26.. Morejon as an upside good trade value move.. like Fenn mentioned maybe a AA or AAA "blocked" C prospect who is decent not elite... with a look at 2024...

If money is the issue Garcia $3.5 probably has the best Value/$$relief combo of all our Pitchers ... Pomz could with a strong healthy ST.. upside wise and trade value maybe Morejon/Baez carry the most value, without hurting the 2023 BP much..

I was quite pleased to discover that Honeywell still has an option year. This signing wouldn't have made sense otherwise. I expect every relief pitcher with any options remaining to end up in the minors as depth for the season, unless any of the relievers without options fall flat on their face or get injured in spring training.

Oh that is huge 💯

Quote from fenn68 on February 14, 2023, 12:05 pm

Apparently Melvin and Soto have agreed on Soto being in LF … so expect Tatis in RF. That seems like the best deployment defensively given Tatis’s arm and speed in a big RF at PETCO.

Also the 6 man rotation seems locked in to start the season.

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.si.com/mlb/padres/news/padres-news-bob-melvin-confirms-the-juan-soto-defensive-game-plan-js77&ved=2ahUKEwiTquyqlpb9AhWCmGoFHUr6DcsQ0PADKAB6BAgVEAE&usg=AOvVaw0ctqTcb_Sx0x6QP5PJAvHr

It's official. Soto in left. This is good news.

Might want to confirm Honeywell having options. Roster Resource has him with zero and looked at his transactions on MLB.com and he has been optioned each year from 2018 through 2021 (4 options I guess due to some interplay of COVID season and injury).

My base case for the 13 active pitchers (before injuries / trades):

6 SP: Darvish; Musgrove; Snell (L); Wacha; Martinez; Lugo

3 LHRP: Hader (L); Pomeranz (L); Hill (L);

3 RHRP: Suarez; Garcia; Wilson;

1 long relief: Morejon (L) to flip the other team coming in for Lugo, Martinez, Wacha as needed. Or even Darvish / Musgrove … a RH oriented SP staff.

That should put Honeywell, Crismatt, and Lopez on the bubble for a roster move. All the  others get optioned.

One note of my base case 13 … only Wilson and Morejon are potential realistic option candidates.

 

Quote from fenn68 on February 14, 2023, 4:41 pm

My base case for the 13 active pitchers (before injuries / trades):

6 SP: Darvish; Musgrove; Snell (L); Wacha; Martinez; Lugo

3 LHRP: Hader (L); Pomeranz (L); Hill (L);

3 RHRP: Suarez; Garcia; Wilson;

1 long relief: Morejon (L) to flip the other team coming in for Lugo, Martinez, Wacha as needed. Or even Darvish / Musgrove … a RH oriented SP staff.

That should put Honeywell, Crismatt, and Lopez on the bubble for a roster move. All the  others get optioned.

One note of my base case 13 … only Wilson and Morejon are potential realistic option candidates.

 

MLB.com says that Honeywell still has options. I believe it because if he didn't the signing of Wacha would make his contract worthless. His contract specifically has 2 different amounts of pay for MLB or MiLB. As much as I like Morejon, I don't see the Padres keeping him if it means losing Crismatt, who was one of their best relievers last year. We will see. 🙂

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.mlb.com/news/brent-honeywell-padres-deal&ved=2ahUKEwiAhbfusZb9AhXOnGoFHR7QAo0QFnoECB4QAQ&usg=AOvVaw3CuSeFdbyIVkUOGWzJz2We

“I was really impressed by his work ethic last year and his attention to detail,” shortstop Xander Bogaerts said. “It reminded me of some of the veteran guys we had in ’13 (with the Red Sox). Obviously, he’s from that time also, so he probably learned it from the veteran, older guys. His work ethic, for sure, is on point, and obviously, he had a great season, too.”

A quote about Wacha from Bogaerts in an article from The Athletic today.

This is some Yoda mind trick next level shit by AJP... 4/24 gtfo...

Quote from fenn68 on February 14, 2023, 4:41 pm

My base case for the 13 active pitchers (before injuries / trades):

6 SP: Darvish; Musgrove; Snell (L); Wacha; Martinez; Lugo

3 LHRP: Hader (L); Pomeranz (L); Hill (L);

3 RHRP: Suarez; Garcia; Wilson;

1 long relief: Morejon (L) to flip the other team coming in for Lugo, Martinez, Wacha as needed. Or even Darvish / Musgrove … a RH oriented SP staff.

That should put Honeywell, Crismatt, and Lopez on the bubble for a roster move. All the  others get optioned.

One note of my base case 13 … only Wilson and Morejon are potential realistic option candidates.

 

I don't think Crismatt makes it to the end of ST without being traded..unless AJP moves Luis Garcia ($3.5) instead

Quote from Henry Silvestre on February 14, 2023, 6:51 pm
Quote from fenn68 on February 14, 2023, 4:41 pm

My base case for the 13 active pitchers (before injuries / trades):

6 SP: Darvish; Musgrove; Snell (L); Wacha; Martinez; Lugo

3 LHRP: Hader (L); Pomeranz (L); Hill (L);

3 RHRP: Suarez; Garcia; Wilson;

1 long relief: Morejon (L) to flip the other team coming in for Lugo, Martinez, Wacha as needed. Or even Darvish / Musgrove … a RH oriented SP staff.

That should put Honeywell, Crismatt, and Lopez on the bubble for a roster move. All the  others get optioned.

One note of my base case 13 … only Wilson and Morejon are potential realistic option candidates.

 

I don't think Crismatt makes it to the end of ST without being traded..unless AJP moves Luis Garcia ($3.5) instead

Both Wilson and Morejon have options. I don't see the Padres trading one of their best relievers from last year just to avoid having to option Wilson or Morejon when Crismatt was better than both.

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