Quote from fenn68 on November 17, 2022, 6:14 am

How about signing:

Koudai Senga ($75MM/5) for that SP role

Masataka Yoshida ($75MM/5) for LHH as DH/LF

That is plus $30MM AAV (pushing the upper limits I would guess of payroll space) BUT adding Senga and Yoshida to Darvish (and to some degree Suarez and Martinez) would explode the Padres popularity in Japan … and result in a huge revenue increase for the Padres from Japan AND probably would help future signings of prospect from Japan.

Maybe some overpay to sign from a pure baseball perspective but maybe a smart business decision?

Sign Otani after 2023 and own Japan … media an fans? (Can skip Soto for the money).

Quote from fenn68 on November 17, 2022, 6:42 am

With Martinez’ signing per MLBTR the Padres are about $100K under the CBT threshold. That is possible with them reducing the AAV for Tatis by about $3MM due to the suspension (for now have to assume they are right).

So, Padres are done?

Quote from MrPadre19 on November 17, 2022, 7:04 am

Don't see how that's possible unless AJ plans to add in ST from players released.

Would have to assume Martinez then is #4 and he's gonna roll with whoever pitches best in ST from Weathers/Knehr/Groome/Avila etc....

Then wait and pick up a bat that can play 1b and DH?

More likely he is working trades and talking to FA's and depending on what pans out and what doesn't will go to Seidler and ask for more $.

Seidler will approve or decline depending on who and how much.

AJ sets a limit to what he feels a players value is...so if he's able to get Senga,or another FA,at that price or under Seidler may approve?

 

 

Quote from Henry Silvestre on November 17, 2022, 7:06 am

Quote from fenn68 on November 17, 2022, 6:14 am

How about signing:

Koudai Senga ($75MM/5) for that SP role

Masataka Yoshida ($75MM/5) for LHH as DH/LF

That is plus $30MM AAV (pushing the upper limits I would guess of payroll space) BUT adding Senga and Yoshida to Darvish (and to some degree Suarez and Martinez) would explode the Padres popularity in Japan … and result in a huge revenue increase for the Padres from Japan AND probably would help future signings of prospect from Japan.

Maybe some overpay to sign from a pure baseball perspective but maybe a smart business decision?

Sign Otani after 2023 and own Japan … media an fans? (Can skip Soto for the money).

If they do this and add Othani next FA cycle they can run a $350mil payroll for the next 5+ yrs and still be very profitable..the JPN sponsorships + media $$ + merchandising streams would become Oceans .. and SDP could profit close to $500mil per yr if not more.. covering all payroll overage and then some..

BTW- Martinez /Suarez and Senga are great friends... and Yu is his mentor and offseason workout partner .. SENGA + Abreu would be great.. SENGA + Yoshida would be next level advantage AJP..

Quote from Henry Silvestre on November 17, 2022, 7:11 am

I think AJP is just getting started.. I am sticking with my theory of payroll at $260 ..in 2023 and then going with a youngish BP and $236 ($1mil under) for 24 reseting

Today is non tender deadline ..I expect lots of moves..will the Padres be participants ..I bet they are..how big or small ??? Depends to be seen!

Quote from Henry Silvestre on November 17, 2022, 7:31 am

Oops today is MvP results

Tomorrow 11/18 is non tender deadline

Quote from fenn68 on November 17, 2022, 8:46 am

The more I think about the potential for even “overpaying” for Senga and Yoshida … the more I like the peripheral potential from plus revenue from Japan, the enhanced odds of extending Darvish, securing a strong presence in Japan for future signings.

Projections are good for both vs the alternatives and they do fill large team needs. Senga would end the pursuit of an additional pitcher and make a strong transition into 2024+. Yoshida would give that LHH to a team with no LHH presence arriving internally near term.

Basically could stop there and maybe just upgrade the bench / 9 hitter with league minimum types (either internals or a make good rebound candidate).

Quote from Henry Silvestre on November 17, 2022, 9:00 am

Been thinking of a way to keep Alfaro and not non-tender him or take him to arb and be on the hook for $900k if cut... why not 3yrs/$5.1 mil ($1.7 per) offer with yearly opt outs @$300k.. #1 would Jorge do this? #2 is this a good strategy for Pads? #3 Does thus make trading Alfaro easier down the line?

I like the idea of Nola/Campy ..and Alfaro 3rd C.. especially if Campy keeps working on his 1B skills over the winter ..

The other option is to non-tender him and elevate Sullivan to 3rd C..Sullivan has extensive innings at other positions and is a solid hitter..hitters. I believe both Jorge and Sullivan are out of options. Sullivan does have greater and cheaper control

Quote from fenn68 on November 17, 2022, 9:02 am

Consider a 13 man position player mix:

OF: Yoshida (L) - Grisham (L) - Soto (L) …. Azocar (bench)

INF: Machado - Kim - Tatis - Cronenworth (L) … Rosario (bench)

C/DH: Nola - Campusano … Alfaro (bench)

UTL: TBD … 1 from Batten, Dixon, Sullivan, or a non-roster signing … all league minimum.

Nice LHH / RHH mix and (except for Alfaro) would be back for 2024. Seems like a legit playoff line-up that could go deep.