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2022 Season
#331 · June 13, 2022, 7:52 am
Quote from MrPadre19 on June 13, 2022, 6:59 amI am "not" a conspiracy theorist....however,am i the only one wondering if MLB is manipulating the balls?
It was speculated they were swapping them out on nationally televised games.I'm wondering about individual ballparks?
I'm sure it's nothing...but for our amusement.
Matt Carpenter was released after hitting 7 HR's in his last 180 games.....180.
Since joining the NYY he has 6 HR's in his last "10" games.....10.
Yes Yankee stadium rewards LH hitters....but I watched his last few and they were HR's in any Park...though not sure about all 6.
By the way 5 are at Home.....1 away.
Also,obviously Judge is powerful and a power hitter.Not surprised he leads MLB in HR.
But the fact he leads by a wide margin "and" Matt Carpenter is suddenly Roger Maris both with the Yanls?
Like I said......probably nothing...but it begs the question at least.
Well the humidors in each park probably differ... the altitude..weather.. etc all affect the ball.. example that ball Kim hit yesterday in San Diego is Out 5 rows deep in all other parks.. but the ball in SD ain't flying until mid July to the season end... the Hosmer SF.. would have split all alleys as well... Petco helps visiting teams a lot at this moment as avg SP can be very effective and sort of neutralizes our SP.. it evens out on the road as our SP remains constant but our offense is able to score more as well..
#332 · June 13, 2022, 10:00 am
Yankee fans are suggesting Carpenter "revamped" his swing in AAA at 36 yrs of age.
Hmm...probably should have done that years ago if that is the case.
#333 · June 13, 2022, 10:19 am
There was an off-season article about his efforts to change his swing on The Athletic. I didn't think much of it at the time, but maybe it worked for him. I think Votto supposedly did something similar a few years ago.
#334 · June 15, 2022, 11:18 am
Just for the record, here's what FG is saying about odds of making playoffs ...
NL West Standings▼
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Win Division | Make Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | 38 | 23 | .623 | 0 | 51.2% | 94.7% |
| Padres | 39 | 24 | .619 | 0 | 37.3% | 92.8% |
| Giants | 35 | 26 | .574 | 3 | 11.6% | 70.4% |
| Diamondbacks | 29 | 35 | .453 | 10.5 | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Rockies | 27 | 35 | .435 | 11.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
NL Central Standings▼
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Win Division | Make Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | 37 | 27 | .578 | 0 | 50.0% | 62.8% |
| Brewers | 34 | 29 | .540 | 2.5 | 49.7% | 62.0% |
| Pirates | 24 | 37 | .393 | 11.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cubs | 23 | 38 | .377 | 12.5 | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Reds | 23 | 39 | .371 | 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% |
NL East Standings▼
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Win Division | Make Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 41 | 22 | .651 | 0 | 62.4% | 94.9% |
| Braves | 36 | 27 | .571 | 5 | 33.6% | 84.2% |
| Phillies | 31 | 31 | .500 | 9.5 | 3.4% | 30.9% |
| Marlins | 28 | 32 | .467 | 11.5 | 0.6% | 6.6% |
| Nationals | 23 | 41 | .359 | 18.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Those odds seemed high to me ... but I'd forgotten this ...
Starting with the 2022 season, MLB added a third wild card team in each league. In the new Wild Card Series, the top two division winners in each league receive a bye to the Division Series, while the lowest-seeded division winner and three wild card teams will play in this round. A best-of-three series will take place, with the higher seed hosting all three games.[4] Due to the expansion of the postseason beginning in 2022, the regular season tie-breaker game format has been eliminated. The winner of the 4 vs. 5 seeded matchup faces the top seeded division winner in the Division Series, while the winner of the 3 vs. 6 seeded matchup faces the second seeded division winner in the other Division Series as there is no reseeding in between rounds.
#335 · June 16, 2022, 6:20 am
Starting positive ... through 40% of the season (meaning still a long way to go) the Padres have the 4th best record in MLB and have had the best start at this point in Padres' history.
Padres are behind the NYY (an incredible start and way ahead of everyone else) then the LAD/NYM (23 losses each) and just ahead of the Padres with 24 losses. Bottom line with all the concerns we have been highlighting the Padres are winning (and that is important).
Padres are within a game of having the best record in the NL and the pole position in the playoffs.
All this should give the Padres the luxury of not panicking and take a more measured approach to improve (if improvement is deeded critical given the cost) as the trade deadline approaches or with calling up prospects (e.g. Abrams, Ruiz, Castillo). Keep in mind that in the next 5+ weeks a lot of unexpected injuries could alter priorities for the limited trade assets.
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LynchMob
#336 · June 16, 2022, 6:29 am
How good is Ruiz? He just cracked the top 30 at #29?? And his scouting report reads LAZY...as in are "you paying attention to what he is doing" Lazy... they make him sound like the second coming of Azuarte....yet his production and new found approach make him look like Rickey Henderson 2.0... am I right?
Scouting grades: Hit: 40 | Power: 45 | Run: 70 | Arm: 45 | Field: 50 | Overall: 40
A $100,000 signee by the Royals in July 2015, Ruiz was moved to the Padres two years later in a six-player deal at the Trade Deadline. Despite splitting time between two orgs, he managed to win 2017 Arizona League MVP honors after hitting .350/.395/.602 with 34 extra-base hits and 26 stolen bases in 52 games. Outside the stolen base totals, he never quite matched that production at the full-season levels and fell out of San Diego’s Top 30 last year after hitting just .249/.328/.411 with a 98 wRC+ in 84 games at Double-A San Antonio. He returned to the Texas League to begin 2022 and bounced back incredibly well in the first two months of the season.
Ruiz has always shown promising bat speed and decent raw power from the right side. However, Padres officials had been concerned about his swing decisions on pitches outside of the zone, leading to either strikeouts or weak contact. The Dominican Republic native has worked with San Antonio staff in 2022 to cut down on the chase rate, causing his walk rate to nearly double while he’s done a better job of lifting the ball on contact.
Ruiz has the speed to provide value, and he puts it to good use on the basepaths. His 158 steals from 2016-21 ranked sixth-most in the Minors over that span. Those wheels have helped him move from second to the outfield, and he’s been focused entirely on center to begin 2022. He’s still rough around the edges there with enough speed to make up for mistakes. Still only 23, Ruiz’s breakout could be enough to push him into a utility Major League role within the next two seasons.
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LynchMob
#337 · June 16, 2022, 7:43 am
It will be interesting to see if the 2022 version of Ruiz is basis of a long term player. Saw that scouting write-up and clearly does not reflect his maturation in 2022 (or apparent maturation). He was much more heralded when the Padre acquired him, then just kept dropping in the rankings as his performance did not live up to the hype (except for the speed).
Maybe the Padres development folks hit the right buttons on his hitting approach ... but he is making contact and hitting with power (totally opposite from the scouting report). Just my speculation, but he was always a poor defensive INF but the permanent conversion to the OF may have help in his confidence (not working about INF errors).
He surely will get the shot in 2023 and given the state of the potential 2023 Padres OF and the general state of OF offense in MLB, he could well garner a ML starting role. If his defense is average and with his speed (base stealing) he would not have to hit all that much to be an asset ... and his current contact rate give encouragement that he will be at least effective in the majors.
Padres need him with Abrams going forward at the top of the order so the big bats of Machado and Tatis have the plate set.
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#338 · June 16, 2022, 9:13 am
If i am AJP I give (for 2023)
Tatis RF/Grisham CF/Ruiz LF (if Profar opts out) with CJ at SS (Tatis -11DRS is no Bueno (21 #s))
If Profar is brought back then Ruiz can push Grisham for ABs and spell Profar and Tatis from time to time.. 350-400ABS if he IS indeed The New and improved RUIZ then Grishman becomes 4th OFer /Def replacement.. dude...in 23
Wether is Profar or another FA or a Trade like A's Laureano... I dont want a Myers $$type contract cause as early as 2023 mid-season we could have Hassell ready and then Wood and Mears not too far behind... 1/3 of our top 30 prospects are OFers...
#339 · June 16, 2022, 9:45 am
Quote from Henry Silvestre on June 16, 2022, 9:13 amIf i am AJP I give (for 2023)
Tatis RF/Grisham CF/Ruiz LF (if Profar opts out) with CJ at SS (Tatis -11DRS is no Bueno (21 #s))
Tatis is NOT moving off of SS. He does not want to move. You DONT move your $300M SS!!!
#340 · June 16, 2022, 9:54 am
So for the OF next season, I agree no Myers on a $20M per season type deal, but if he wants to come back for between $4-8M per season I can see value there for SD. And then I would proceed this way.
With the power Ruiz is showing this season, IF it is real, he can be your LFer, Grisham can slide to RF, and Abrams moves to CF. Or any combination of the 3 in the OF spots. Maybe since Grisham has already won an GG in CF, you leave him in CF, and place Ruiz in LF and Abrams in RF. Then with Myers and maybe Rooker you have a nice R/L balance for the OF.