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WINTER LEAGUES

The winter leagues are starting up.

In the Dominican ... so far ...

Naylor (OF) is 3 for 7 (with a BB)

Castillo (INF) is 4 for 9 .... maybe making a play for a roster spot as a swich-hitting middle INF following an outstanding TEX League season?

Eguy Rosario (INF) is 0 for 4

Megill (RHP) is also down there with 1 inning in.

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In the AZ Fall League .. most of the Padres are struggling except for Ashbeck (RHP) who in his 8 1/3 innings have only given up 3 hits and sports a 0.84 WHIP and .111 BAA. This come after a good LE season (over 100 innings) with a 2.91 ERA and .221 BAA ... good for the Cal League. A bit older after being out with injury for a couple of seasons. SP/RP. Rule 5 eligible. Making a bid for the crowded 40 man?

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I know the stats in winter leagues can be misleading and should be taken with a grain of salt. Add that the 40 man is crowded and neither Castillo nor Ashbeck are likely top prospects but are they more useful than whomever they might bump?

Castillo is a middle INF, switch hitter who apparently can actually hit ... near term think only Miller may fit that role as a call-up (not Rule 5 eligible). Castillo may be the better 2020 call up if needed.

Ashbeck has to be the call of the development team based on stuff ... another potential AAA RP poised for mid-season call-ups in this age of yo-yo moves ML to MiL for RP?

I would consider both on the bubble from being selected in the Rule 5 (and kept).

I've argued repeatedly for Castillo on roster, Kinsler off.

If Kinsler & Mejias-Brean are casualties of the move from 50 down to 40 after the World Series, there is actually no depth-- beyond 2 bench players-- at all at INF on 40-man due to strong, even 'excessive' depth everywhere else:  4 C's, 8 OF + more in R5?, way too many P's...

Castillo is a Switch Hitter, and "only" 24; younger than most Minors FA...  Intl signee who simply looks like a late bloomer.  If Pads don't roster him, someone else will.   He would ostensibly compete in ST with Urias, Garcia, and France but really for a bench spot.  Probably winds up in AAA as likely injury recall for ANY starting or reserve INF.

Maybe a band aid type guy till higher rated prospects arrive, but hard to call last year where he outperformed most of them a flash in the pan.  Don't know about his defense, but only had 5 ER last season playing mostly 2B/SS, some 3B & OF too.  More SS innings than 2B in his career.

In my eyes given team needs more than upside potential, he's the one unprotected guy the Pads really "should" add to roster.  Ashbeck pitches well every year, but is always old for his level; spent all year at A+, turns 26 in Nov =  No real risk of being taken in Rule 5.

With both Castillo and Ashbeck .... the real unknown is how the Padres view them talent-wise vs. who they bump off the 40 man (assuming a Kinsler type is bumped to get to the 40 man) plus ... in case of mid-2020 emergency need ... do they like a non-roster call up as much (or better)?

Padres do have (and like) Miller who will be ticketed to AAA and non-roster .... if needed could just add him at the expense of whomever Castillo would have bumped (or someone to the 60 day IL).

Less of an issue with Ashbeck since there are a lot of alternative arms lurking around the system. Maybe a bit unlikely to get picked in the Rule 5 but historically "older" RP types do seem to get selected (Preller may have been the exception going for young picks). Probably since finding even serviceable RP these days is just hard and RP seem to develop out of nowhere (see Hand and Yates) a live arm is worth the flyer.  I still am intrigued by his potential .... drafted out of college in 2015 and then out with TJ surgery early 2016 from which he did not return until late 2017 .. basically missed two years. Maybe he was "old" for LE at 24-25 but not experience-wise. At 26 ... if his stuff matches his 2019 performance ... an easy keep by any of the 100 loss teams ... so, the the front office assessment of his stuff over whomever he bumps that is a debate.

Ashbeck is Rule 5 eligible but I think Castillo becomes a minor league FA so, if Castillo agrees, they could re-sign him on a new minor league deal after the Rule 5 thus keeping him as a non-roster type. Of course Castillo has something to say about it and may want to move to a different organization rather than be behind Tatis / Urias now and with Arias / Edwards breathing down his neck.

 

https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/sports/padres/story/2019-11-18/padres-offseason-leagues-michael-gettys-josh-naylor-gerardo-reyes

DOMINICAN WINTER LEAGUE

  • OF Josh Naylor (San Diego) is 6-for-36 over his last 10 games with Escogido. He is hitting .250/.308/.306 with one homer, one double and 10 RBIs in 21 games this winter.
  • INF Ivan Castillo (Amarillo), a batting champion this year in the Double-A Texas League, is hitting .231/.274/.278 with one homer and 12 RBIs in 26 games with Escogido.
  • Webster Rivas (El Paso) is 2-for-13 through his first four games with Cibao.

MEXICAN WINTER LEAGUE

  • RHP Gerardo Reyes (San Diego) has five strikeouts, one walk and three hits allowed through four shutout innings for Obregon. Reyes – who had a 3.57 ERA at Triple-A El Paso and a 7.62 ERA in 26 innings in the majors – has three saves this winter.

PREMIER 12

  • INF Xavier Edwards (Lake Elsinore) was 2-for-6 with two runs scored in four games played for Team USA in the Premier 12. Team USA lost the bronze medal game and will look to qualify for the Olympics in March.

https://padres.mlblogs.com/padres-on-deck-gettys-homers-in-puerto-rico-reyes-has-4-saves-in-mexico-ece26516d4f6

Reyes, 26, has four saves in his first five appearances for Obregon in the Mexican Pacific League.

Meanwhile, four Padres prospects — infielders Jordy Barley and Australian native Jarryd Dale, catcher Jonny Homza and outfielder Taylor Kohlwey — will be active Thursday when the Australian Baseball League opens its season. Infielder Kelvin Melean and outfield Jawuan Harris will play during the second half of the ABL season.

Left fielder Josh Naylor has slumped from over .300 to .250 for Escogido in the Dominican Republic He is 4-for-32 since returning Nov. 6 after missing eight days with a calf strain. He has a double, a homer, 10 RBIs, five walks and five stolen bases.

Second baseman Ivan Castillo is also slumping and is now hitting .225 (25-for-111) for Escogido.

Franchy Cordero (OF) SD - Dec. 04

https://www.rotowire.com/baseball/player.php?id=736096

Cordero (quadriceps) made his debut in the Dominican Winter League on Tuesday, going 2-for-5 with two runs scored while playing for Leones del Escogido, Bill Center of MLB.com reports.

ROTOWIRE RECOMMENDS: The report confirms that Cordero is healthy again after his 2019 campaign came to an end Aug. 31, when he wasn't activated from the 60-day injured list while rehabbing at High-A Lake Elsinore. Multiple injuries have limited Cordero to just 270 total plate appearances in affiliated ball over the past two seasons, so a stint in the DWL will help him pick up some much-needed game action to make up for the time he lost. After he remained on the Padres' roster following Monday's non-tender deadline, Cordero should get the chance to compete for an outfield job with the big club in spring training.

https://www.eastvillagetimes.com/padres-winter-league-report-december-4-quiroz-homers-twice-in-mexico-margot-with-first-hit-in-d-r/

https://www.eastvillagetimes.com/padres-winter-league-report-december-5-cordero-two-hits-in-d-r/