Quote from LynchMob on July 7, 2022, 5:07 pm

https://www.mlb.com/news/updated-top-100-prospects-list-july-2022

Luis Campusano, C, Padres (No. 34 to No. 56): Now in his second season at Triple-A, Campusano is performing well with El Paso (.328/.399/.492) but is struggling to catch on in San Diego. The 23-year-old has traded some power for contact too in 2022, which is notable for a catcher who slugged at least .500 in his previous two Minor League seasons. The longer he stays in the PCL, the more his prospect stock drops.

Quote from MrPadre19 on July 8, 2022, 5:06 am

I disagree with the last line.As long as he stays in the PCL the longer his stats are inflated and he stays desirable to other teams.

If he comes up to SD and rarely plays,or his numbers become “normal” I think the shine comes off some.

Unless of course he comes up and dominates…..which is possible.

 

Quote from fenn68 on July 8, 2022, 6:39 am

Quote from MrPadre19 on July 8, 2022, 5:06 am

I disagree with the last line.As long as he stays in the PCL the longer his stats are inflated and he stays desirable to other teams.

If he comes up to SD and rarely plays,or his numbers become “normal” I think the shine comes off some.

Unless of course he comes up and dominates…..which is possible.

 

Other GMs look at EP stats as we do … inflated. So, potentially a strong performance in EP for a second year and not being called up when the Padres are lacking offense in the #2 catcher or even DH may be a red flag … certainly does not help his projection.

Also, going into 2022 Nola was presumed #1 C … and Campusano as a Top prospect could have been considered as the second catcher after a good 2021 … but the Padres instead went with Alfaro … certainly does not help his projection.

As a catcher who can hit at all … still a valuable prospect BUT considering the two above points, maybe a bit less so than a year ago.

I tend to agree that Campusano’s trade value will drop unless he is proving his worth at the ML level. That puts the Padres in the position .. soon … of either trading Campusano (while his value is high .. if it is) or dealing Nola and calling up Campusano if he is the prospect we think he is.  The ML success of Alfaro looks to be locking up one catching slot  through 2023 (and an extension probable).

 

Quote from fenn68 on August 1, 2022, 1:25 pm

With the departure of Ruiz and Gasser off MLB Pipeline Top 30 list … and they just take whoever was next on their rankings outside the Top 30 (no real reranking) … added at

#29 Rosier (22) … LHH OF in FW … drafted by SEA in 2021 and had an impressive debut … traded to SD. This is his first full season and after a slow BA start has taken off … speed, OBP, and with some power … can play CF. Expect in the after season re-ranking expect him easily in the Top 15

#30 Wolf (23) … LHP in FW … drafted by SD (4th round) in 2021 … has had his moments in his first full season … so probably better upside than a number of the prospect higher up the list.

Quote from LynchMob on August 3, 2022, 6:14 am

This is A LOT less fun of a list now 🙁

https://www.mlb.com/prospects/padres/

RANK	PLAYER	POSITION	LEVEL	ETA	AGE	HEIGHT / WEIGHT	BATS	THROWS
1	Luis Campusano	C	AAA	2022	23	5' 11" / 232 lbs	R	R
2	Jackson Merrill	SS	A	2025	19	6' 3" / 195 lbs	L	R
3	Eguy Rosario	INF	AAA	2022	22	5' 9" / 150 lbs	R	R
4	Reiss Knehr	RHP	MLB	2022	25	6' 2" / 205 lbs	L	R
5	Joshua Mears	OF	A+	2024	21	6' 3" / 230 lbs	R	R
6	Samuel Zavala	OF	ROK	2024	18	6' 1" / 175 lbs	L	L
7	Victor Lizarraga	RHP	A	2025	18	6' 3" / 180 lbs	R	R
8	Korry Howell	OF/SS/3B	AA	2022	23	6' 3" / 180 lbs	R	R
9	Kevin Kopps	RHP	AA	2023	25	6' 0" / 200 lbs	R	R
10	Reggie Lawson	RHP	AA	2023	25	6' 4" / 205 lbs	R	R
11	Jay Groome	LHP	AAA	2022	23	6' 6" / 262 lbs	L	L
12	Brandon Valenzuela	C	A+	2024	21	6' 0" / 225 lbs	S	R
13	Jagger Haynes	LHP	ROK	2025	19	6' 3" / 170 lbs	L	L
14	Efrain Contreras	RHP	A+	2025	22	5' 10" / 225 lbs	R	R
15	Daniel Montesino	OF	ROK	2025	18	6' 0" / 180 lbs	L	L
16	Yendry Rojas	SS	ROK	2025	17	6' 0" / 185 lbs	L	R
17	Tirso Ornelas	OF	AA	2024	22	6' 3" / 200 lbs	L	R
18	Agustin Ruiz	OF	A+	2023	22	6' 2" / 215 lbs	L	R
19	Ray Kerr	LHP	AAA	2022	27	6' 3" / 185 lbs	L	L
20	Matthew Batten	INF	MLB	2022	27	5' 11" / 180 lbs	R	R
21	Matt Waldron	RHP	AAA	2023	25	6' 2" / 185 lbs	R	R
22	Nerwilian Cedeno	3B/2B	A	2025	20	5' 11" / 175 lbs	S	R
23	Jairo Iriarte	RHP	A	2025	20	6' 2" / 160 lbs	R	R
24	Noel Vela	LHP	A+	2024	23	6' 1" / 185 lbs	L	L
25	Jackson Wolf	LHP	A+	2024	23	6' 7" / 205 lbs	L	L
26	Garrett Hawkins	RHP	A	2025	22	6' 5" / 230 lbs	R	R
27	Ryan Bergert	RHP	A+	2024	22	6' 1" / 210 lbs	R	R
28	Alek Jacob	RHP	AAA	2023	24	6' 3" / 190 lbs	L	R
29	Marcos Castanon	3B/2B	A	2025	23	6' 0" / 195 lbs	R	R
30	Lucas Dunn	INF/OF	A+	2024	23	6' 0" / 205 lbs	R	R

Quote from fenn68 on August 3, 2022, 6:38 am

After Campusano - Merrill - Rosario ... just a sea of unknowns.

Have to see the post season re-rankings with the new draft added in. Even with this group ... can see a lot of the full season guys drop (not really good years) and some of the ACL/DSL types just get moved up just on upside potential over in game performance.

Also, I could see a larger number of 2022 draft picks hitting the list that I previously expected.

 

Quote from LynchMob on August 3, 2022, 6:46 am

From #19 on down, the majority of those guys are older than Juan Soto ...

Quote from dusty on August 3, 2022, 9:19 am

After these 2-3 years are up it will be interesting to see how the roster shakes out. Don't forget with Tatis, Machado and Musgrove, there will always be a chance to compete. Not to mention if Morejon fulfills his potential, that will be two front of the rotation pieces for another few years. How will the draft picks develop?

This international period coming up is going to be huge getting that catcher...will there be enough resources to keep Soto, or do they deal him after two seasons and get a couple good prospects who are close to MLB ready to ensure that we remain competitive.

Cronenworth and Kim...could be vital to keeping the infield set and only worrying about the outfield for years to come. And if Grisham has finally figured it out again, we are really worried about two corner outfield spots (unless Soto stays - or they get two outfielders for him) and a DH plus 3 starters and then your bullpen - which With Crismat, Kopps, Castillo, Wilson, Baez (Groome in the pen or the rotation) - you might have a core bullpen there for years to come and then you piece the others together.

Going to be interesting to see the vision moving forward and how much the Payroll limits go up in the future...If they somehow are under this year, do the penalties get reset and would they be willing to go back over next season or in the following season?

Quote from Henry Silvestre on August 3, 2022, 9:37 am

Quote from dusty on August 3, 2022, 9:19 am

After these 2-3 years are up it will be interesting to see how the roster shakes out. Don't forget with Tatis, Machado and Musgrove, there will always be a chance to compete. Not to mention if Morejon fulfills his potential, that will be two front of the rotation pieces for another few years. How will the draft picks develop?

This international period coming up is going to be huge getting that catcher...will there be enough resources to keep Soto, or do they deal him after two seasons and get a couple good prospects who are close to MLB ready to ensure that we remain competitive.

Cronenworth and Kim...could be vital to keeping the infield set and only worrying about the outfield for years to come. And if Grisham has finally figured it out again, we are really worried about two corner outfield spots (unless Soto stays - or they get two outfielders for him) and a DH plus 3 starters and then your bullpen - which With Crismat, Kopps, Castillo, Wilson, Baez (Groome in the pen or the rotation) - you might have a core bullpen there for years to come and then you piece the others together.

Going to be interesting to see the vision moving forward and how much the Payroll limits go up in the future...If they somehow are under this year, do the penalties get reset and would they be willing to go back over next season or in the following season?

One BP arm that could play in SDP in 23 is former top 30 spec J Quezada..he is putting a very nice season together..including a dominant one at AA 0.69 ERA..he is 26 yrs old now