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Offseason predictions/Guesses

Is Hamels/Dickerson/Holt enough considering all that’s been said about winning now?

It sure seems like they have stuck their necks out suggesting they will make more/bigger adds?

Quote from fenn68 on November 15, 2019, 10:11 am

Maybe, but given Holt’s versatility might serve to free up some of the OF while hurting both France or Kinsler’s spots.

Garcia still has that LH bat that can be useful as a PH. Would have to see what other dominoes fall before making any cal.

Holt is a LH bat as well, pretty much the same player as Garcia for the most part dont you think? I would have to think its either Holt or Garcia, wouldnt you?

Quote from David Nevin on November 15, 2019, 10:55 am

Is Hamels/Dickerson/Holt enough considering all that’s been said about winning now?

It sure seems like they have stuck their necks out suggesting they will make more/bigger adds?

They did, and now Acee has them back peddling a bit saying they may not chase Stras. So who is right at this time???

Well they don't have to sign Strasburg for it to be true.

They could say his cost is prohibitive yet still go big somewhere else via free agency or trade.

But will it be 3-4 smaller additions or 1-2 larger ones?

I guess it could be 1 larger one and a few smaller ones.

I just know it's gonna be agony playing this what if waiting game we do every offseason.

How nice would it be to be a perennial winner who just tweaks their already great roster each off season?

 

 

Keep in mind it is a reporter that is saying the Padres “are interested in”, “have the player on their radar”, “have checked in on”, etc. First it is the reporter writing that ... how much is he interpreting comments (if any) for the front office? Second, all those comments suggest they maybe in the market for that player but maybe not if the price is too high ... depends on any discussions with the agent. Might find out that player X has zero interest in signing with a team that has three straight losing seasons when a contender (with money) is bidding for their services.

At this time of year .... that blanket rhetoric surrounds all teams ... most players just to keep the clicks for the “insiders”. P.S. don’t trust anything any team front office says ... they are not going to disadvantage themselves by laying out a specific plan .... rather deception is key.

Add that one moves begets other moves (or no other moves) so the gameboard changes with every trade / FA singing .... whether it is by the Padres or other teams.

Quote from David Nevin on November 15, 2019, 10:55 am

Is Hamels/Dickerson/Holt enough considering all that’s been said about winning now?

It sure seems like they have stuck their necks out suggesting they will make more/bigger adds?

No if by enough you mean making the Playoffs.

Too many other holes to fill by 2020 .... 2021 is more realistic and those adds would serve to set-up the contention in 2021.

I don’t think trades / FA by themselves take the Padres to the next level ... even if one is Cole (who would really really help if they could get it done). They must have a wave of their internal high ceiling pieces deliver .... Paddack, Lamet, Gore, and Patino to elevate the SP and Tatis, Mejia to elevate the offense. Machado / Hosmer need to be at least their historically average. Trammell has to arrive (effectively) sooner than later.

No idea which will deliver to move to critical mass ... but all have the potential as elite prospects. If they fail to achieve critical mass ... not sure the Dickerson, Holt, Marte, et al move the needle that much to get to the playoffs and then progress.

Hoping the Padres don’t do a mini 2015 and add a lot of unproductive names that set the team actually backwards in their march to the playoffs.

I think the front office is looking to both 2015 and again at the trade for Galvis seeing how much those experiments did little for the future and more so failed and are a bit more cautious this time around. I think you see/hear that from Darren Smith’s interview with Seidler today. They aren’t going to mortgage the entire future for a couple years. They are going to be disciplined to a degree and not make a drastic move. If it makes sense they will make the move. I really get the sense they will be smart and make good moves this offseason. I think we may be underwhelmed a tad but I think we will all in all be satisfied at the moves toward fielding a winning team

Quote from David Nevin on November 15, 2019, 11:50 am

Well they don't have to sign Strasburg for it to be true.

They could say his cost is prohibitive yet still go big somewhere else via free agency or trade.

But will it be 3-4 smaller additions or 1-2 larger ones?

I guess it could be 1 larger one and a few smaller ones.

I just know it's gonna be agony playing this what if waiting game we do every offseason.

How nice would it be to be a perennial winner who just tweaks their already great roster each off season?

 

 

I think we're close Mr. P...  SP has the strengh/depth to get there.  Trammell will arrive.  Deep at C.  Give Urias a chance.

Look how far we've come!   Last year this time we were debating whether Christian Villanueva, Jason Vosler, Ty France, or Ian Kinsler should be our 3B....

Even by mid-season this year could be trading from deep Farm for a bat or RP or both to try to get over the top!

I'll guess/predict the following moves :

1. Sign Kyle Gibson 3/42

2. Trade for Chris Archer in exchange for Torrens and Baez plus Kinsler (whom they probably release).

3. Trade for Haniger and Smith for Renfroe, Quantrill, O Miller and S Miller.

4. Sign Brett Gardner 2/20

Other moves will be milb signings for depth including a vet C to be in reserve in AAA with Allen for C depth.

Sorry no Dickerson, Stras or Bryant. Naylor to AAA. Myers still a starter.

Rotation Paddock, Richards, Gibson, Archer & Lucchesi.  Lauer if some gets hurt. Otherwise long relief. OF of Myers-Smith/Margot/Haniger with Gardner spelling corners against RHSP and Cordero or Martini on the bench.

Stuff has to break right to contend, but not as far fetched as years past.

 

I like Gardner a lot, wanted him years ago for SD. I think at this stage in his career, there is very little chance he plays for any other team except NYY.