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OFFSEASON 2023-24
#1561 · January 29, 2024, 11:06 am
Not supposed to have any impact on the Padres or their flagship radio station (97.3 San Diego) but the company that owns that (and a couple of hundred other stations) his filed Chapter 11 bankruptcy. Supposed to be a "pre-packaged" arrangement that only impacts the creditors / owners.
Having said that ... a company does not go into bankruptcy unless there was a lot of issues in making money ... and that has to be corrected ... maybe not immediately but could be an issue down the road ... when the Padres' contract ends will they want even to continue? Will anyone want to carry the radio games and if so at a lesser price?
Just add to the future uncertainty.
#1562 · January 29, 2024, 11:17 am
Hicks signs with the LAA ... ML contract.
#1563 · January 29, 2024, 11:20 am
Hicks signs with the LAA. Although borderline defensively for CF, a risk I would have liked SD to take especially at ML min salary. Was Preller just not interested? I cant see LAA being able to offer more playing time than SD.
On the other side, LAA now has to clear a 40 man spot for Hicks, could we get Moniak for a low level prospect?
#1564 · January 29, 2024, 11:29 am
Quote from BoosterSD on January 29, 2024, 11:20 amHicks signs with the LAA. Although borderline defensively for CF, a risk I would have liked SD to take especially at ML min salary. Was Preller just not interested? I cant see LAA being able to offer more playing time than SD.
On the other side, LAA now has to clear a 40 man spot for Hicks, could we get Moniak for a low level prospect?
Since who Hicks signed with had no financial impact to him ... even if Preller was interested (and don't know if he was) ... have no idea what factors lead Hicks to LAA? Could be going "home" since he is from Long Beach (although lives in AZ now I think). Maybe it is the manager ... a buddy on the team ... a restaurant in Garden Grove ... not sure Preller could do anything to change his mind if the reasons were not playing time.
#1565 · January 29, 2024, 11:42 am
Quote from BoosterSD on January 29, 2024, 11:20 amHicks signs with the LAA. Although borderline defensively for CF, a risk I would have liked SD to take especially at ML min salary. Was Preller just not interested? I cant see LAA being able to offer more playing time than SD.
On the other side, LAA now has to clear a 40 man spot for Hicks, could we get Moniak for a low level prospect?
After his 2023 ... a wRC+ of 113 ... very unlikely they trade Moniak and if they did not for a low level prospect. Probably would not even deal the failed top prospect Adell for a low level prospect.
LAA has some very fringe pitchers to drop ... and two had TJ surgery last season ... so dead ML money on the IL if they keep them on the 40 man (and then to the 60 day IL). Might just slide one through waivers .... retain as a minor leaguer.
#1566 · January 29, 2024, 1:10 pm
Maybe things are messier behind the scenes than we realize? A well regarded manager leaves, an owner dies, a TV deal shrivels, a clubhouse loses its chemistry, and the big-spending Padres suddenly have an incredibly uncertain financial future... maybe no one wants to come here?
I mean, I don't think this is likely... but also, how the hell are we not even signing guys like Hicks? At this point, we need bodies, even if the plan is to go with the kids (which, for the record, I think is a terrible idea).
And, for what it's worth, AJ Cassavell penned yet another bewildered "Around the Horn" article, this time on the rotation. One of our most visible and plugged-in beat writers still has no idea what the heck is going on.
#1567 · January 29, 2024, 4:30 pm
Quote from sportwarrior on January 29, 2024, 1:10 pmMaybe things are messier behind the scenes than we realize? A well regarded manager leaves, an owner dies, a TV deal shrivels, a clubhouse loses its chemistry, and the big-spending Padres suddenly have an incredibly uncertain financial future... maybe no one wants to come here?
I mean, I don't think this is likely... but also, how the hell are we not even signing guys like Hicks? At this point, we need bodies, even if the plan is to go with the kids (which, for the record, I think is a terrible idea).
And, for what it's worth, AJ Cassavell penned yet another bewildered "Around the Horn" article, this time on the rotation. One of our most visible and plugged-in beat writers still has no idea what the heck is going on.
Tend to agree that there are some bigger behind the scenes issues than have been reported leading to inaction.
Not considering the departing FA the 40 man roster moves:
Adds: Matsui (FA); Go (FA); Patino (waivers); Marcano (waivers); Kolek (Rule 5); De Los Santos (Trade of Barlow); King, Higashioka, Vasquez, Brito (Trade of Soto / Grisham).
Subtractions: Carpenter, Kerr (trade for Minor League player); Barlow (Trade for De Los Santos); Soto, Grisham (Trade for King, Higashioka, Vasquez, Brito)
The adds have an AAV of about $15.3MM while the subtractions avoid about $47.2MM. Matsui with an AAV of $5.5MM is the most expensive of the adds … and in this market that is not much at all.
Consider that unlike previous winters … virtually no linking of the Padres seriously with any of the name FA (actually not even many of the no name FA) … can’t even create good rumors in this radio silence period.
It appears that the signing of De Vries is going to be the big move of the winter since at this point even a trade likely is low key.
#1568 · January 29, 2024, 6:24 pm
SEA and MIN have just pulled off a trade, Polanco for DeSclafani, Topa (ML RP), and 2 MiLs Gabriel Gonzalez (OF#3 on MLB.com) and Darren Bowen.
Two things,
One, now that MIN got another SP it was looking for, would they be willing to take something else for Kepler.
Two, it shows the value of trading Kim. A ML SP & RP, a #3 MiL prospect and a lotto prospect.
#1569 · January 29, 2024, 8:35 pm
Quote from BoosterSD on January 29, 2024, 6:24 pmSEA and MIN have just pulled off a trade, Polanco for DeSclafani, Topa (ML RP), and 2 MiLs Gabriel Gonzalez (OF#3 on MLB.com) and Darren Bowen.
Two things,
One, now that MIN got another SP it was looking for, would they be willing to take something else for Kepler.
Two, it shows the value of trading Kim. A ML SP & RP, a #3 MiL prospect and a lotto prospect.
DeSclafani (33) is not a good SP … the RP Topa is going on 33 with a major history of injury (2 TJ) … the A ball pitcher was a low draft pick … I guess the #3 prospect (A+ ball OF has upside) … so not a great player return for a 2.0 WAR Polanco unless you factor in MINN gets rid of the contract and it appears takes on none of the money due DeSclafani / Topa … they are trying to control their budget and plan to just redeploy to a greater need. The deal may be more about the money than the players.
Kim probably could yield a better return as a 4.4 WAR with much better defense as a SS … at least to a team that needs a SS. Not a great return … just better. He is also lower cost than Polanco and the Padres may not require the trade partner to eat any of the contract for the player coming to the Padres.
I suspect that no team is going to offer enough to convince Preller to trade Kim … at least now.
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Jeremy Hill
#1570 · January 29, 2024, 8:57 pm
Quote from fenn68 on January 29, 2024, 8:35 pmQuote from BoosterSD on January 29, 2024, 6:24 pmSEA and MIN have just pulled off a trade, Polanco for DeSclafani, Topa (ML RP), and 2 MiLs Gabriel Gonzalez (OF#3 on MLB.com) and Darren Bowen.
Two things,
One, now that MIN got another SP it was looking for, would they be willing to take something else for Kepler.
Two, it shows the value of trading Kim. A ML SP & RP, a #3 MiL prospect and a lotto prospect.
DeSclafani (33) is not a good SP … the RP Topa is going on 33 with a major history of injury (2 TJ) … the A ball pitcher was a low draft pick … I guess the #3 prospect (A+ ball OF has upside) … so not a great player return for a 2.0 WAR Polanco unless you factor in MINN gets rid of the contract and it appears takes on none of the money due DeSclafani / Topa … they are trying to control their budget and plan to just redeploy to a greater need. The deal may be more about the money than the players.
Kim probably could yield a better return as a 4.4 WAR with much better defense as a SS … at least to a team that needs a SS. Not a great return … just better. He is also lower cost than Polanco and the Padres may not require the trade partner to eat any of the contract for the player coming to the Padres.
I suspect that no team is going to offer enough to convince Preller to trade Kim … at least now.
Kim brings big value to the Padres: GG defense, leadoff hitter with high OBP and stolen bases. I agree with you Fenn. Kim will bring more value to the Padres this year than this trade return will bring MIN. The part that makes it really hard to trade Kim is the supplemental 1st round pick he will give the Padres if he leaves. A team would have to give up Kim's value + a 1st rd pick in value to get him. I don't see that happening.