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MLB Draft July 9-11
#31 · July 10, 2023, 3:39 am
After all those years of drafting in the first half of the 1st round and seeing drafting players with strong scouting reports … have to expect some perceived flaws in any player drafted #25 and just hope for some development … basically more of a high ceiling boom or bust pick in a slot that normally does not yield high profile ML talent.
At one level the defense in CF and base running speed create a plus plus base that should play well and might just carry him to the ML if he can hit at all at the upper levels. Even if he just lands as a 4th OF / PR that is still good value for the 25th pick.
For those who like defensive first CF (and in an era where there are not a lot of all around plus CF) this pick might work … in maybe 4 years. In the current system the jury is still out on Marsee and Zavala may be more a corner player even though in CF now. Grisham is only controlled through 2025. So, bottom line this pick may be a good gamble at #25 on an upside player at a critical position that will have need in the future.
Now Head … just hit!
Should be a quick sign and in the ACL quickly and get a month and a half of play this year.
#32 · July 10, 2023, 3:59 am
Given the loss of picks early in the draft … wonder how much the Padres gamble on high upside long shots (injured, obscure schools) in the rest of the draft along with being aggressive with the non-drafted players.
Since the Padres seem to have a good list of prospects in A+ and down … roll the dice for the upside might make sense. Hit 1 of 10 and they are ahead of the game given the odds of those pick succeeding in the ML under normal conditions.
#33 · July 10, 2023, 12:21 pm
All I'm going on are the MLB.com write ups, but JD Gonzelez is an intriguing pick. Lots of raw tools to dream on, there, with a "diamond in the rough" vibe given how under-scouted PR is. That said, you gotta wonder if he'd have been available in the 4th or 6th.
Homer Bush Jr, son of former big leaguer Homer Bush, sounds pretty raw, as well. He's got size, speed, and possible power, which reads like a standard Preller draft profile.
#34 · July 10, 2023, 12:21 pm
It appears that Preller is loading up on position players.
Picks a J.D. Gonzalez, a LHH C from a HS in Puerto Rico, and Homer Bush Jr. a RHH CFer out of Grand Canyon University here in PHX. Hopefully Bush Jr, is a good as former GCU alum Tim Salmon.
I believe that his dad was drafted by SD in 1991. Had a decent ML career.
#35 · July 10, 2023, 12:33 pm
Quote from sportwarrior on July 10, 2023, 12:21 pmAll I'm going on are the MLB.com write ups, but JD Gonzelez is an intriguing pick. Lots of raw tools to dream on, there, with a "diamond in the rough" vibe given how under-scouted PR is. That said, you gotta wonder if he'd have been available in the 4th or 6th.
Homer Bush Jr, son of former big leaguer Homer Bush, sounds pretty raw, as well. He's got size, speed, and possible power, which reads like a standard Preller draft profile.
My guess is that the Padres had a high valuation on him and did not want to risk him not being on the board later ... also may be an under slot sign. Taken at #96 while ranked #213 but that ranking may reflect the scouting in PR and his previous injury. Always need more C prospects ... key position where you need two quality C at the ML level and who knows who fails or gets injured ... plus if overstocked good trade chips.
Read the scouting report on Bush ... another high ceiling athlete who has to develop his bat. RHH plus defensive CF with speed ... as with Head ... if the bat is serviceable he has the other tools to be a 4th OF. Given the new ML emphasis on speed ... both Head and Bush play into that trend with plus CF defense ... and with offense coming form Machado, Tatis, and Bogaerts for a long time maybe the hit tool is not the prime focus. MLB had his ranked #94 and taken at #128 ... so not out of line.
#36 · July 10, 2023, 1:03 pm
Jay Beshears, 6th round pick out of Duke. Big kid at 6'4 215, announced as a 2B but also plays 3B (as you'd assume at that size).
Beshears went from relatively unknown bench player to legitimate draft prospect after his breakout 2022 season at Northwestern. He hit the transfer portal over the summer and decided to transfer to Duke, where he has taken over a starting role. He has solid exit velocities, coming with some swing-and-miss, but has cut that down significantly this year while playing in a stronger conference. He has good discipline and gets on base often. His defense is somewhat of a question, but he should be serviceable at third base or the outfield at the worst. There is a lot to like here, making him an enticing Day 2 option.
#37 · July 10, 2023, 1:06 pm
Beshears found himself on base following each of his first three plate appearances on Thursday, including a rocket line drive off the glove of left fielder Casey Cook that was ruled a double.
Beshears has a large frame with a strong build and decent athleticism. He keeps his hands high and employs a medium leg kick, and while his swing is fluid, there is some length to it. He possesses plus raw power and makes very loud contact – mostly to the pull side – but comes with plenty of swing-and-miss.
The Northwestern transfer has played mostly second base in his collegiate career, but his defensive actions are nowhere near smooth enough for him to handle the position going forward. Given his size and lack of lateral agility, he is likely to end up in the outfield long-term.
With continued success against ACC pitching, Beshears should be able to cement himself as a Day 2 pick with upside.
#38 · July 10, 2023, 1:58 pm
Definitely going with signable guys from smaller schools looking for some diamonds in the rough.
#39 · July 10, 2023, 2:11 pm
7th round: Tucker Musgrove, two way player from University of Mobile... Another size guy at 6'3 175. Can't find much about him online. In 18 ip this year, he K'd 23 with 10 saves and a 3.00 ERA. He also hit .397 with 11 doubles, 5 triples, 8 HR, 48 rbi and 25 stolen bases. 32 bb to 36 ks in 189 PAs. Not a bad line.
#40 · July 10, 2023, 2:14 pm
8th round: Kannon Kemp, a high school RHP... Ridiculous size at 6'6 225. Currently working in low to mid 90s, but plenty of room to add muscle and velo.
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