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Fernando Tatis, Jr

National League RoY results
1) Pete Alonso, NYM: 29 (1st place), 1 (2nd place) -- 148 points
2) Mike Soroka, ATL: 1 (1st), 25 (2nd), 2 (3rd) -- 82
3) Fernando Tatis Jr., SD: 2 (2nd), 20 (3rd) -- 26
4) Bryan Reynolds, PIT: 1 (2nd), 6 (3rd) -- 9
5) Dakota Hudson, STL: 1 (2nd), 1 (3rd) -- 4
6) Victor Robles, WSH: 1 (3rd) -- 1

Does he sign an extension or doesn't he?

Should he sign an extension or shouldn't he?

What would/should it look like?

 

While he may be a bit different than others(like Acuna) because his Dad made millions he still should sign one IMO.

He could sign a deal today that would pay him 3 times what his Dad made in his entire career and set himself and children(and grandchildren) up forever.

Plus he's so young he could still "bet on himself" and really cash in again before he's 30.

What do you guys think he should do?

What do you think he "will" do?

 

Acuna was 8 yr - 100 million.......using that as a template where do you go?

Less years for same money ...... 5 yr - 100 million

More Money....8 yr - 160 million

or ???

If I were him I think I would seek 5 for 100 million. Gives him security and reduces his risk while offering life changing money plus it allows him to still seek a second, substantial contract.

I feel like both sides are probably content to see how this season plays out before working on an extension. There could be a big difference in what an extension looks like if he stays healthy versus what it looks like if he continues to miss significant time with injuries. He has a lot to gain and I think AJ and company would probably feel better entering negotiations with a clearer picture even if it could potentially cost them some money given his style of play.

Since the next 5 seasons are control years thru arbitration IF he is elite think maybe $60MM. If not, less.

Makes sense for the Padres to wait and see him for 2020 and then work on an extension that covers free agent years. Don’t want another Myers situation.

Quote from onlypads on February 28, 2020, 4:02 pm

If I were him I think I would seek 5 for 100 million. Gives him security and reduces his risk while offering life changing money plus it allows him to still seek a second, substantial contract.

For him sure....but there’s zero advantage to the Padres here.

 

The team sets his salary this year and next. After that he's got 3 years of arbitration. Bellinger just set the record for a 1st time eligible player at 11.5 million. Mookie has the record for a 2nd and 3rd time eligible player at 20.1 last year and 27 this year. Those were set after 2 MVP seasons and a strong follow up to an MVP season.

60 million is the absolute most the next 5 years should be valued at in extension talks if you think he's going to be an MVP caliber player.More realistically I think you put it in the 45-50 range. Then you get to the FA years where I think 20 a year is probably the most you want to pay. So, 7 at 85-90 or 8 at 105-110 would seem reasonable. That puts him ahead of the Acuna deal without the 2 team option years which is where I think most of the criticism of that deal comes from.

Young Players yrs 1-3 are likely to sign an extension-- than not-- Thats a lot of $$ guaranteed for life and even with a 10 yr, Tatis jr would still be hitting FA on his 30/31st bday, like most FA do.. so a Huge 6/240 (by then or more) would still be on the cards... I think 9/125-145 is the right number for both

As far as Paddack. Pitchers are a lot harder to extend beyond arb, cause health is always a concern..(see Lubke) ,,, Say he goes out and goes 15-9 with a similar 3,30 era 1.09 whip.. 30 Starts 190.1 IP in 2020... I would be inclined to offer 7/81 or something along those lines.. more than Archer got for reference..