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Chris Paddack

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Quote from fenn68 on December 4, 2018, 1:51 pm
Quote from David Nevin on December 4, 2018, 1:15 pm

Gore/Paddack/Baez are the 3 guys I hope we keep at all costs.

Obviously not the only ones who could end up great major leaguers.....but these are the 3 “I” believe have the most potential to be a #1 or #2.

Guys I don’t have the belief in...so I hope we trade at highest value are Quantrill,Lauer,Weathers,Espinoza.

I don’t know why I don’t believe in Weathers......hope I’m wrong.

 

Always hard to really predict how any young pitcher develops .... sort of why a team needs a large overstock of legit prospect to end up with a decent set 5 ML SP at some point.

Pitchers projected to be #1, #2, #3 are just hard to find (some might not make it but need some to succeed if you want a legit ML staff). To that end, even if their minor league production is not exciting but their "stuff" is ... got to hold. Even if the pitcher is though of as a #4 would not just toss them out without a sufficient return ... having 5 SP develop is just not easy. I would toss into the hold list Patino ... have heard nothing but upside good on the youngster.

We will see on Weathers, probably not a top of the rotation stuff BUT apparently a strong array multiple pitches ... might be the guy who is very effective if he has the command on all those pitches.

Nobody mentioned Morejon or Logan Allen, both lefties that Conniff had rated as his #6 & #7 prospects.  Patino came in at #10.  The team seems really high on Nix as well, he did have a groin surgery immediately after the season, that might have been a problem hindering him during the season, plus he came in at #8 on Jon's list.  Out of these 4, I would be most willing to part with Nix personally.  This week's winter meeting should be interesting for the Pads.  Go RockStar GM & Pads!

I like Morejon and Allen as well.

Add them to the “Hope we don’t trade” list for me.

Especially Allen....as he is probably the closest to S.D.

I only left them off my list because we would have to trade somebody.....give talent to get talent.

Morejon to me probably has the most value around the league so may be on other GM’s wish lists.

 

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/2019-san-diego-padres-top-10-prospects-chat/

Daniel (Hayward): 

    How is Chris Paddack's curveball? What's his ceiling if everything comes together? What is he if his curveball doesn't improve?

Kyle Glaser: It's not a good pitch just to be frank. There's a reason you'll see him throw it four times in an 85-pitch outing, or seven times in an 85-pitch outing. The hope is he can land it in the strike zone early in counts from time to time just to keep some hitters honest. The only ML righthander who throws a breaking ball as infrequently as Paddack does is Kyle Hendricks - that's the upside in terms of role: A No. 3 on a contending team who might reach an All-Star Game or win an ERA title at his peak. That's a pretty darn good pitcher, and frankly would be better than anything the Padres have had in a while. Otherwise, he might end up sort of like an Alex Cobb, a fine No. 4 who does most of his damage with his fastball and changeup. Either way, there is a big league starter in there that will help the Padres is some form or fashion.

From chat with Eric Longenhagen (link in Luis Urias thread) ...

Daniel L: Paddack seems to be getting a some swings and misses on his curve this spring. Do you think it looks better at all from last year? 

12:24
Eric A Longenhagen: it’s a little better, probably a 50 now

Latest from Baseball America:

Chris Paddack, RHP, Padres

Scout’s Take: "I think he’s commanding the fastball a little bit better. You know the changeup is always there. He’s not a pop-up, but he’s taking that next step forward to a position of a guy who legitimately probably deserves to break camp in the big league rotation. Curveball is the same, still a below-average pitch, that’s the question mark. But because of the other stuff it doesn’t have to be plus. Realistically, you’re still talking about a two-and-a-half pitch guy, but it’s good enough to work. Realistically, the expectation is still a No. 3 or 4 starter, but the thing that’s been interesting about this spring is he’s shown he possibly could be higher.”

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/kyle-glaser-chat-31519/

Derek (SD): I put money on Paddack to win rookie of the year. Smart bet?

Kyle Glaser: Every SP to win Rookie of the Year since 2000 (Fulmer, deGrom, Verlander, Hellickson, Willis, Jennings) pitched at least 140 innings. You have to remember Paddack is still on a post TJ buildup plan and threw only 90 innings last year. He’s still going to be on a plan this year that takes his workload into account. Adding the 50 innings (and likely more) he would need to win ROY would be a big, big increase that is unnecessarily risky. I’d be surprised if he pitches enough innings to vault over the ROY field, as good as he is.

...

JaKob (Dallas, TX): Chris Paddack... He's been legit with really only two pitches.. can that hold up in the bigs, 3 turns through an order? Can he be a #2 starter with elite control and 2 great pitches?

Kyle Glaser: It's funny, I had this exact conversation with a veteran evaluator yesterday. With the way Paddack dials his fastball up and down and the way he can manipulate his changeup, it's two pitches but it can look like four. That all said, the vast majority of evaluators still see a No. 3 or 4 starter because there is such a short track record of RHPs without a viable breaking ball having success. There are always exceptions to every pedigree though. Paddack is starting to make a few evaluators believe he might be one of them

Paddack has now allowed 10 hits in 26 innings pitched!

 

It’s gonna really suck if they shut Paddack down after 125 ip and it costs him the Rookie of the Year award.

It would help if FTJ wins it but still.....

Quote from David Nevin on April 24, 2019, 3:06 pm

It’s gonna really suck if they shut Paddack down after 125 ip and it costs him the Rookie of the Year award.

It would help if FTJ wins it but still.....

If Paddack pitches as he has (or even close) for 125 innings ... he would be in good shape to win the NL Rookie Pitcher of the Year.

Primarily because that would be a great season and ... as of now ... only 5 other rookie SP pitching regularly and they are NOT impressing. Never know who pops up mid-season but as of now he has to be the leader to win by far.

Saw the game today.  After gettting out of bases loaded jam in 1st, just utterly dominant.  Amazing control & even saw a few curveballs.

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