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Chris Paddack

Has earned his own thread 🙂

One of 10 prospects whose stock has soared in 2018 ...

https://www.minorleagueball.com/2018/9/3/17811928/here-are-10-mlb-prospects-that-have-seen-their-stocks-soar-in-2018-wilson-waters-wander-adell

Padres prospect Chris Paddack led MLB’s Top-100 Prospects with the lowest FIP on the year, sporting a 1.94 to go along with his ridiculous 120 Ks and only 8 BBs in 90 IP. Paddack ranked 15th overall in FIP among the 1,830 pitchers to toss at least 50 innings in the Minor Leagues this season.

LOWEST FIPS BY PITCHERS AMONG MLB.COM'S TOP 100 PROSPECTS (MIN. 50 IP)

MLB.COM RANK NAME IP K BB HBP HR ERA FIP
48 Chris Paddack 90 120 8 6 4 2.10 1.94
29 Brendan McKay 78 1/3 103 14 1 3 2.53 2.00
62 Dane Dunning 86 1/3 100 26 5 2 2.71 2.62
39 Ian Anderson 119 1/3 142 49 3 2 2.49 2.71
77 Brusdar Graterol 102 107 28 9 3 2.74 2.93

All this talk of reading for a frontline starter got me wondering what everyone feels about Paddack vs. Quantrill.

Am I the only one that doesn’t see Quantrill as even a middle of the rotation starter?

I’m thinking we should trade him now while his prospect status is still relatively high.....and I feel the opposite about Paddack.

 

Quote from David Nevin on November 20, 2018, 5:45 am

All this talk of reading for a frontline starter got me wondering what everyone feels about Paddack vs. Quantrill.

Am I the only one that doesn’t see Quantrill as even a middle of the rotation starter?

I’m thinking we should trade him now while his prospect status is still relatively high.....and I feel the opposite about Paddack.

 

Doubt Quantrill has much trade value ... what you see is likely what other teams see (so why give up anything of quality for him). Maybe he moves as the 2nd or 3rd piece in a bigger deal.

On the other hand ... if you can't get anything better back (they won't) ... why trade him? He is not occupying an roster slot and he has the basic stuff that got him drafted high ... so just ride it out that he develops the command to become a serviceable ML pitcher. If not no harm no foul and he just fades away.

I think a lot of teams (or at least ours) still see what we don't see in Quantrill, and by that I mean his raw stuff. The numbers sure aren't there, but by all accounts he still has the arsenal that made him a 1st round talent. His star has definitely faded, but there's still value and potential there.

Yeah he’s atill #11 in the best system in baseball.

So if he were traded to say.....the Orioles,wouldn’t he be in their top 3?

Gotta be worth something IMO.

But yes.... not as a centerpiece but,for instance,in this deal for Segura if the M’s are holding out for more maybe he could push the deal over the edge.

 

Quote from David Nevin on November 20, 2018, 3:55 pm

Yeah he’s atill #11 in the best system in baseball.

So if he were traded to say.....the Orioles,wouldn’t he be in their top 3?

Gotta be worth something IMO.

But yes.... not as a centerpiece but,for instance,in this deal for Segura if the M’s are holding out for more maybe he could push the deal over the edge.

 

That is how I see it ... Quantrill still has a lot of POTENTIAL but not enough to merit a quality return on his own (would guess almost every team would take him ... just not give any prospect with a superior profile).

However, as the second / third piece in a deal ... more than enough to make a package appealing. So, essentially Padres should keep him and see if he develops OR use him in a bigger deal to get that major return piece they are looking to add.

From a chat at BA today ...

https://www.baseballamerica.com/chat/?1543936495

Adam (Las Vegas): FB/CH-only SP pitchers like Chris Paddack don’t exactly have a sterling record of panning out. Is he the type of pitcher who potentially has more trade value than likely performance value for the Padres?


Kyle Glaser: No, because for the reason you stated most external evaluators have him as a No. 4-5 starter, while the Padres internally have him higher. Opposing teams like him, but not at the price it would probably make sense for the Padres to move him on his own. (A package would obviously be a different dynamic)

Gore/Paddack/Baez are the 3 guys I hope we keep at all costs.

Obviously not the only ones who could end up great major leaguers.....but these are the 3 “I” believe have the most potential to be a #1 or #2.

Guys I don’t have the belief in...so I hope we trade at highest value are Quantrill,Lauer,Weathers,Espinoza.

I don’t know why I don’t believe in Weathers......hope I’m wrong.

 

Quote from David Nevin on December 4, 2018, 1:15 pm

Gore/Paddack/Baez are the 3 guys I hope we keep at all costs.

Obviously not the only ones who could end up great major leaguers.....but these are the 3 “I” believe have the most potential to be a #1 or #2.

Guys I don’t have the belief in...so I hope we trade at highest value are Quantrill,Lauer,Weathers,Espinoza.

I don’t know why I don’t believe in Weathers......hope I’m wrong.

 

Always hard to really predict how any young pitcher develops .... sort of why a team needs a large overstock of legit prospect to end up with a decent set 5 ML SP at some point.

Pitchers projected to be #1, #2, #3 are just hard to find (some might not make it but need some to succeed if you want a legit ML staff). To that end, even if their minor league production is not exciting but their "stuff" is ... got to hold. Even if the pitcher is though of as a #4 would not just toss them out without a sufficient return ... having 5 SP develop is just not easy. I would toss into the hold list Patino ... have heard nothing but upside good on the youngster.

We will see on Weathers, probably not a top of the rotation stuff BUT apparently a strong array multiple pitches ... might be the guy who is very effective if he has the command on all those pitches.