Forum
2026 Padre Season
Quote from WindsorUK on August 30, 2026, 2:07 pmQuote from fenn68 on August 30, 2026, 3:38 amQuote from WindsorUK on August 29, 2026, 4:36 pmYeah, that was my thinking as well.
We're going to have to take on a bad contract ( or 2!) to get rid of Xander.
For the money he makes, he kills us. Poor offensive production, no speed, very iffy defender. And he's here another, what, 6 years????
Maybe package Schoolcraft and Borthwick( we'll trade both for expiring contracts in the next few years anyway)with him?
Desperate times, desperate measures.
Although agree Bogaerts is not worth his contract (and that will be a problem for years) ... but have to look at that as a "sunk cost" and just focus on his performance vs alternatives recognizing that no other team is going to be interested unless the Padres pay down his current deal substantially ... basically Padres will pay one way or the other.
Padres have no real in-house alternative as an everyday SS ... and Bogaerts if nothing else is still a competent defensive player (11th best SS in dWAR) while only being 14% below average offense (he does still get on base via BB).
What it would take to move him probably would hurt the team (and its other priorities) more than keeping him. Just (near term) just live with him ... sit him 8th/9th in the batting order ... and spend resources on future SP.
You do EVERYTHING you can to get rid of Bogaerts. If that means eating $150 million, you eat it.
I've NEVER seen an everyday SS who has worse glove to hand skills.
As long as we're lumbered with our current 2B/SS combo, we'll never progress past where we are- struggling to grab a Wild Card. Too much money for not enough of....well... anything. Other than Jake's versatile glove, these guys are replacement level or worse.
Quote from fenn68 on August 30, 2026, 3:38 amQuote from WindsorUK on August 29, 2026, 4:36 pmYeah, that was my thinking as well.
We're going to have to take on a bad contract ( or 2!) to get rid of Xander.
For the money he makes, he kills us. Poor offensive production, no speed, very iffy defender. And he's here another, what, 6 years????
Maybe package Schoolcraft and Borthwick( we'll trade both for expiring contracts in the next few years anyway)with him?
Desperate times, desperate measures.
Although agree Bogaerts is not worth his contract (and that will be a problem for years) ... but have to look at that as a "sunk cost" and just focus on his performance vs alternatives recognizing that no other team is going to be interested unless the Padres pay down his current deal substantially ... basically Padres will pay one way or the other.
Padres have no real in-house alternative as an everyday SS ... and Bogaerts if nothing else is still a competent defensive player (11th best SS in dWAR) while only being 14% below average offense (he does still get on base via BB).
What it would take to move him probably would hurt the team (and its other priorities) more than keeping him. Just (near term) just live with him ... sit him 8th/9th in the batting order ... and spend resources on future SP.
You do EVERYTHING you can to get rid of Bogaerts. If that means eating $150 million, you eat it.
I've NEVER seen an everyday SS who has worse glove to hand skills.
As long as we're lumbered with our current 2B/SS combo, we'll never progress past where we are- struggling to grab a Wild Card. Too much money for not enough of....well... anything. Other than Jake's versatile glove, these guys are replacement level or worse.
Quote from Jeremy Hill on August 30, 2026, 10:39 pmPivetta was really good in his rehab start today. He got up to 64 pitches too. He may only need to make 1 more before returning now. The UT writers have been saying that Musgrove may make 1 more rehab start with the goal of getting him to about 85 pitches. He went 60 in his last outing. If the same goal holds true for Pivetta another strong outing could get him back to the big leagues a bit sooner than expected after the setback.
Pivetta was really good in his rehab start today. He got up to 64 pitches too. He may only need to make 1 more before returning now. The UT writers have been saying that Musgrove may make 1 more rehab start with the goal of getting him to about 85 pitches. He went 60 in his last outing. If the same goal holds true for Pivetta another strong outing could get him back to the big leagues a bit sooner than expected after the setback.
Quote from BoosterSD on August 31, 2026, 1:53 pmRengifo is out for the season, torn ACL and sprained MCL.
Wonder if SD offers him an inexpensive contract now for next season before a higher league minimum is set for veteran players. And allowing them to assist in his rehab and have him ready for early in the season (or at the end of the lockout)?
Rengifo is out for the season, torn ACL and sprained MCL.
Wonder if SD offers him an inexpensive contract now for next season before a higher league minimum is set for veteran players. And allowing them to assist in his rehab and have him ready for early in the season (or at the end of the lockout)?
Quote from fenn68 on August 31, 2026, 2:10 pmQuote from BoosterSD on August 31, 2026, 1:53 pmRengifo is out for the season, torn ACL and sprained MCL.
Wonder if SD offers him an inexpensive contract now for next season before a higher league minimum is set for veteran players. And allowing them to assist in his rehab and have him ready for early in the season (or at the end of the lockout)?
My understanding that during the lockout the team and player cannot work on rehabs (or anything else) ... player does not get paid. I guess the MLPA and the player's agent will workout some venue for rehab for any injured player.
I would guess ... since nothing happens (FA signings, trades, etc) during the lockout then likely a very brief ST ... a lot of FA like Rengifo will be eager to sign quickly (and cheaply) once the CBA is approved just to ensure some pay for 2027.
Quote from BoosterSD on August 31, 2026, 1:53 pmRengifo is out for the season, torn ACL and sprained MCL.
Wonder if SD offers him an inexpensive contract now for next season before a higher league minimum is set for veteran players. And allowing them to assist in his rehab and have him ready for early in the season (or at the end of the lockout)?
My understanding that during the lockout the team and player cannot work on rehabs (or anything else) ... player does not get paid. I guess the MLPA and the player's agent will workout some venue for rehab for any injured player.
I would guess ... since nothing happens (FA signings, trades, etc) during the lockout then likely a very brief ST ... a lot of FA like Rengifo will be eager to sign quickly (and cheaply) once the CBA is approved just to ensure some pay for 2027.
Quote from fenn68 on August 31, 2026, 2:28 pmIn a week or so some "interesting" decisions on the pitching staff:
- Appears the Musgrove and Pivetta will be activated by mid- Sep 1 ... Musgrove likely the Sep 1 "extra" and Pivetta will likely send Morgan to EP (outside chance the DFA Canning but might want to keep both under control for coverage to new injuries at the end of the month or in the playoffs)
- Seven SP ... and a number of off days ... how do they set the rotation and the SP who work out of the pen? Would think Musgrove starts and Vasquez piggybacks. Not sure on the move when Pivetta returns ... which current SP would be effective out of the pen?
- Going to a six man rotation and considering the off days does give some "rest" to the SP but SP are built on routine and going from 4 days rest to maybe 6 days rest may not be optimum for their command / performance. Maybe some strategic skipping of a start?
Then layer in the moves that may be needed for the returns of Estrada and Adam ... baring injuries.
Somewhere between a good scenario (the returnees should be better than the incumbents if back to form) ... and a bad scenario (thought to be back to form ... but not).
In a week or so some "interesting" decisions on the pitching staff:
- Appears the Musgrove and Pivetta will be activated by mid- Sep 1 ... Musgrove likely the Sep 1 "extra" and Pivetta will likely send Morgan to EP (outside chance the DFA Canning but might want to keep both under control for coverage to new injuries at the end of the month or in the playoffs)
- Seven SP ... and a number of off days ... how do they set the rotation and the SP who work out of the pen? Would think Musgrove starts and Vasquez piggybacks. Not sure on the move when Pivetta returns ... which current SP would be effective out of the pen?
- Going to a six man rotation and considering the off days does give some "rest" to the SP but SP are built on routine and going from 4 days rest to maybe 6 days rest may not be optimum for their command / performance. Maybe some strategic skipping of a start?
Then layer in the moves that may be needed for the returns of Estrada and Adam ... baring injuries.
Somewhere between a good scenario (the returnees should be better than the incumbents if back to form) ... and a bad scenario (thought to be back to form ... but not).
Quote from fenn68 on September 1, 2026, 5:51 amDespite a poor weekend vs TB ... the month of August was excellent for the Padres. The 17-11 record yielded the 3rd most wins in the month (behind PHIL and TB).
Key driver was the pitching staff which was #1 in ERA (3.04).
Based on dWAR ... the Padres were #4 in MLB defense.
Even offense was much better than early in the season landing #9 in wRC+ at 105 ... slightly above average. That result was boosted by outstanding months by Tatis, Merrill, and France and a positive contribution by Campusano. Bogaerts was about average (97). Machado (1 HR / 9 RBI) and Cronenworth (1 HR / 13 RBI) both struggled and were notably below league average.
If the pitching / defense stay strong (both good for the full season) ... that really sets the table for a strong SEP and puts the focus on the offense in which the players have fluctuated between very hot and very cold.
A lot of moving parts ... but need Manny to have a better SEP ... 1 HR / 9 RBI from the everyday #3 hitter is costing the team runs and wins.
Despite a poor weekend vs TB ... the month of August was excellent for the Padres. The 17-11 record yielded the 3rd most wins in the month (behind PHIL and TB).
Key driver was the pitching staff which was #1 in ERA (3.04).
Based on dWAR ... the Padres were #4 in MLB defense.
Even offense was much better than early in the season landing #9 in wRC+ at 105 ... slightly above average. That result was boosted by outstanding months by Tatis, Merrill, and France and a positive contribution by Campusano. Bogaerts was about average (97). Machado (1 HR / 9 RBI) and Cronenworth (1 HR / 13 RBI) both struggled and were notably below league average.
If the pitching / defense stay strong (both good for the full season) ... that really sets the table for a strong SEP and puts the focus on the offense in which the players have fluctuated between very hot and very cold.
A lot of moving parts ... but need Manny to have a better SEP ... 1 HR / 9 RBI from the everyday #3 hitter is costing the team runs and wins.
Quote from WindsorUK on September 1, 2026, 8:21 amWho has the advantage, strength of schedule wise, in the last month? Us, Arizona, or Philly?
Who has the advantage, strength of schedule wise, in the last month? Us, Arizona, or Philly?
Quote from BoosterSD on September 1, 2026, 8:42 amI have to admit that I am torn about the promotion of Salas. On one side he has earned it, and should be able to help the team with his bat. On the other side, he is now on the 40 man, and will now be included in the CBA work stoppage. As Fenn has mentioned, it would probably have been beneficial to keep him off the 40 man, and let him start the season next year when the MiL kicks off and get some work in while millionaires argue with billionaires.
I have to admit that I am torn about the promotion of Salas. On one side he has earned it, and should be able to help the team with his bat. On the other side, he is now on the 40 man, and will now be included in the CBA work stoppage. As Fenn has mentioned, it would probably have been beneficial to keep him off the 40 man, and let him start the season next year when the MiL kicks off and get some work in while millionaires argue with billionaires.
Quote from fenn68 on September 1, 2026, 8:42 amQuote from WindsorUK on September 1, 2026, 8:21 amWho has the advantage, strength of schedule wise, in the last month? Us, Arizona, or Philly?
San Diego has the EASIEST of the three ... but Arizona's is also pretty easy. PHIL on the other hand has the 2nd hardest in MLB if you base it on current winning percentages of coming opponents.
So strategically have to root for PHIL vs AZ in a head to head match-up. More importantly for the Padres ... first ensure get in the playoffs then jockey of position. At this point always root of AZ to lose until the fall out of contention.
Quote from WindsorUK on September 1, 2026, 8:21 amWho has the advantage, strength of schedule wise, in the last month? Us, Arizona, or Philly?
San Diego has the EASIEST of the three ... but Arizona's is also pretty easy. PHIL on the other hand has the 2nd hardest in MLB if you base it on current winning percentages of coming opponents.
So strategically have to root for PHIL vs AZ in a head to head match-up. More importantly for the Padres ... first ensure get in the playoffs then jockey of position. At this point always root of AZ to lose until the fall out of contention.




