Quote from Alex Tamayo on September 9, 2024, 6:19 pm

Quote from 3fingersplit on September 9, 2024, 2:40 pm

I was asked how many wins it would take to make the playoffs and my response was 89 and the Padres are at 81 and things are getting tight …the heater the Padres had after the All Star break put them in a good position…not great but good. They have 17 games left and need 8 more wins to get to 89 so they need to play at minimum.500 ball to make the postseason and the fact that it’s now a four team race for 3 wildcard spots…Padres, Dbacks, Braves and Mets…it’s getting down to crunch time…I think the Cubs and Cardinals are done. This might be the toughest 8 wins that I can remember in a very long time and this thing is far from over.

The Dbacks have 7 games with the Brewers and the last three with the Padres to close out the season…need some help from Milwaukee…the Braves have 4 games with the Dodgers, 3 games with the Mets and the last 2 are with the Royals…need some help from the Dodgers and the Royals…the Mets have 7 games with the Phillies, 3 with the Braves and close the season with 3 games against the Brewers…the Padres have 2 against the Mariners, 3 with the Giants, 3 with the Astros, 3 with the White Sox, 3 with the Dodgers and the last 3 with the Dbacks in Arizona to close out the season …our Padres need to find a minimum of 8 wins and this is going to be tough.

Go Padres!!!

For 8 wins they just need to win 2 series (doesn't matter which ones) and not get swept in the other 4 series, if they can't do that then, they are not worthy of a playoff spot anyway,

Quote from MrPadre19 on September 9, 2024, 6:30 pm

Quote from MrPadre19 on July 13, 2024, 3:00 pm

The good news is July has a very tough schedule while August will be much easier.

Lets get through July above .500 and then do some damage in August.

 

Done!

Quote from MrPadre19 on September 9, 2024, 6:35 pm

Quote from ultratvfan on September 9, 2024, 6:15 pm

As if this writing, the Padres have 17 games left to play.

I am not counting out the Padres winning the division just yet. The Padre are 6 games back the Dodgers and yes, the chances have gotten slim, But, the Padres have 3 games against the Dodgers and if they can come with at least 3 games going into the series, they may have a chance. The Padres have owned the Dodgers all season, have already have won the season series and own the tiebreaker.

The Dodgers host the Cubs, 4-game series against the Braves in Atlanta, go to Miami to play the Marlins, host the Rockies and Padres and then play the Rockies again in Colorado at Mile High Coors field.

I would rather the Braves get into the playoffs over the Mets, because the Padres won the season series from the Braves thus owning the tie breaker.

The tie breaker will not be decided between the Padres and the Dbacks until the last series, but hope they will go to Arizona with at least 4 games ahead of the snakes.

 

dodgers schedule is too easy for us to catch them.

I guess we can pray the Marlins and Rockies get hot the last two weeks of the season?

 

 

Quote from ultratvfan on September 9, 2024, 10:01 pm

Maybe not so easy of schedule for the Dodgers. Cubs beat the Dodgers. Padres gain 1/2 game. Imanaga on the mound tomorrow for the Cubs. Padres need to do their part.

Quote from MrPadre19 on September 11, 2024, 1:00 pm

First 3 hitters for the D Backs today:

Double

Triple

Home Run

 

FML

 

Quote from Jeremy Hill on September 11, 2024, 2:47 pm

Bowden Francis no-hit the Mets for 8 innings and the Blue Jays lost 6-2.

Quote from Alex Tamayo on September 14, 2024, 9:10 am

Next Padres win will get them to 84 Ws, still not with a playoff spot secured, last year that was enough, a week ago we were thinking 89, and that may not be enough, the magic number could be 90 If things keep going the same path.

Quote from fenn68 on September 14, 2024, 11:04 am

Quote from Alex Tamayo on September 14, 2024, 9:10 am

Next Padres win will get them to 84 Ws, still not with a playoff spot secured, last year that was enough, a week ago we were thinking 89, and that may not be enough, the magic number could be 90 If things keep going the same path.

I am thinking that all the Wild Card teams in the NL with be 90+ wins baring some collapse by TWO of the contenders.

Understanding that streaks go hot and cold but sort of as a benchmark consider the best winning percentage in the NL is .599 by PHIL. So if ALL the contenders play to that level it is 8 wins for ATL, NYM, AZ giving them 89 (ATL first out), 90, and 91 respectively as each has 15 games to play ... basically they all go 9-6.

SD has only 14 to play, so maybe the hit 8-6 or 9-5 ... and everything aligns as now. Hard to imagine that AZ, NYM, and ATL ALL can get so hot to overtake SD unless SD hit a MAJOR losing streak (run below .500) ... although possible.

Winning the next two vs SF and the three vs CWS could seal the deal (earning a playoff slot) by itself taking a lot of pressure off that last week vs LAD/AZ.

#1 priority: secure a playoff slot

#2 priority: secure the 1st WC slot and home field for the opening series

#3 priority: win the NL West and a bye series and home field advantage for the first playoff series

Quote from Jeremy Hill on September 14, 2024, 11:36 am

We've got the tiebreaker with the Braves. As long as we don't totally collapse you have to feel pretty good about our chances. If we go 7-7 to finish at 90 wins the Braves have to go 11-4 to pass us. The Mets would also have to go 9-6 and the DBacks would have to go either 8-7 or 9-6 (depending on who wins the tiebreaker between us) for us to miss the playoffs.

The Braves and Mets have 3 games left against each other. The Mets also have 6 games left against the Phillies and 3 against the Brewers. The Braves have 3 against the Dodgers and 3 against the Royals. The DBacks have 6 against the Brewers and 3 against us. We have some tough teams left on the schedule too with 3 against the Astros and 3 against the Dodgers added to the DBacks series. We also have 3 against the White Sox though. It should be a fun race. I like where we're at.