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2022 Season

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Quote from fenn68 on July 30, 2022, 4:27 am

Looking as though the second half performance improvements from Clevinger and Snell has moved Manaea to #5 SP with his declining performance. Maybe taking some pressure of adding a SP (ahead of other upgrades).

In the opening playoffs 3 game set … currently on the road … would expect Darvish, Musgrove, and either Clevinger / Snell … depends which is hot, better AWAY from PETCO, and opponent match up. The other goes to the pen with Manaea. That is pretty good playoff set-up.

Snell owns the LAD OWNS them like nob

other and has his lowest road ERA at Dodger stadium.  Definetely advantage Padres in a 5 game series.. where he could start 2xs and Musgrove 2x..Yu not as historically sharp vs LAD 1 start.. I like our chances

Throughout his career Snell has been 2 different pitchers . 1st half - bad , 2nd half - good to great . Fingers crossed that history repeats itself . throw out the debacle in Colorado and his last 4 starts are 22 innings , 15 hits , 3 ER , 35 Ks and 9 BB . Those are Ace stats .

Ha-Seong Kim in last 21 games:

 

.323 BA, .384 OBP, 2 HR, 10 RBI, 3 SB

 

Got to keep Kim at SS even after Tatis comes back...he is figuring MLB pitching out and becoming a super star..remember he is basically a 2nd yr player and rookie (as far as playing regular starts..he was a Bench guy last yr)

How about the Job Tim Hill has quietly done over the past almost 2 calendar months?

1.84 ERA in his last 15 appearances

hasnt allowed an earned run since July 1

only 3 ER since his June 6 appearance (24.1 innings) and gave up those runs in 2 of his 18 appearances.

his era is now at his career levels bringing his era down from a 6.57 to a 3.60

1.69 ERA in July

In the mode of what have you done for me lately as the Padres are in a tight Wild Card race and can’t mess around too long with players currently slumping … looked at the past 30 day offensive performances:

The best hitter / best WAR …. KIM at 140 wRC+/0.9 for the month. If Tatis returns … going hard to bump Kim.

Looking at the current INF on a WAR basis Kim (0.9), Machado (0.6), Cronenworth (0.6) … that is based on elite defense at all three INF slots even while Machado and Cronenworth are in minor offensive slumps … wRC+ 100 and 102, respectively. That is a solid INF and will be hard to break-up.

On the other hand … OF (no surprise) is a problem. Profar (although injured for a bit) as fine 107 wRC+ but Grisham wRC+82 remains a concern and the reality of Mazara is settling in as his wRC+ dropped to 74 … not great for a RF. With Myers return but not looking like an OF option more has to be done. With the plus INF and the OF issue … Tatis to the OF seems the only logical move.

1B/DH has Hosmer (114) and Voit (112) are not great but at least above league average but neither provide and defense at 1B … and we have seen that as a problem.

Catcher was a bit of a surprise … Nola came in at 100 (good for a catcher) but his defense was well below average. However, despite an early good showing, Alfaro slumped in July to a wRC+ at 81 and average defense. Can see the desire for a catching up grade.

Quote from fenn68 on August 1, 2022, 12:53 pm

In the mode of what have you done for me lately as the Padres are in a tight Wild Card race and can’t mess around too long with players currently slumping … looked at the past 30 day offensive performances:

The best hitter / best WAR …. KIM at 140 wRC+/0.9 for the month. If Tatis returns … going hard to bump Kim.

Looking at the current INF on a WAR basis Kim (0.9), Machado (0.6), Cronenworth (0.6) … that is based on elite defense at all three INF slots even while Machado and Cronenworth are in minor offensive slumps … wRC+ 100 and 102, respectively. That is a solid INF and will be hard to break-up.

On the other hand … OF (no surprise) is a problem. Profar (although injured for a bit) as fine 107 wRC+ but Grisham wRC+82 remains a concern and the reality of Mazara is settling in as his wRC+ dropped to 74 … not great for a RF. With Myers return but not looking like an OF option more has to be done. With the plus INF and the OF issue … Tatis to the OF seems the only logical move.

1B/DH has Hosmer (114) and Voit (112) are not great but at least above league average but neither provide and defense at 1B … and we have seen that as a problem.

Catcher was a bit of a surprise … Nola came in at 100 (good for a catcher) but his defense was well below average. However, despite an early good showing, Alfaro slumped in July to a wRC+ at 81 and average defense. Can see the desire for a catching up grade.

TATIS in RF is the best option making Laureano or Reynolds ...Hays (Baltimore) better fits vs Tatis in CF and Soto in RF in my opinion ..

If we go that route can still improve C and maybe get Bell for similar if not <top prospects than Soto alone

Quote from Henry Silvestre on August 1, 2022, 1:08 pm

TATIS in RF is the best option making Laureano or Reynolds ...Hays (Baltimore) better fits vs Tatis in CF and Soto in RF in my opinion ..

If we go that route can still improve C and maybe get Bell for similar if not <top prospects than Soto alone

If Tatis goes to the OF, the best option is to put him in LF. Would be the easiest transition, because fly balls and line drives will move the same way as they do at SS. Profar can man CF, and the new OFer that we trade for, can go to RF.

All 3 OF positions upgrade bat wise, and should maintain status quo as far as the defense is concerned.

That HR Grisham hit on a 98 mph down and away..Screams "Tease" oppo field crushed absolutely 💯 barreled... I have given up on him and now he has me rethinking it.. he sort of been sneaky slging a bit more lately although that BA/OBP is bad..will he be one of those dudes that jumps up 40-50 pts next season if the shift ends???

So in all seriousness, there are 11 weeks left in the regular season.

We are 12 games back, and we have 9 games head to head with LAD. If we go 6-3 against LAD, that means we have 11 weeks to make up the additional 6 games.

It would come down to the wire, but SD can still win the division.

Quote from BoosterSD on August 2, 2022, 10:23 am

So in all seriousness, there are 11 weeks left in the regular season.

We are 12 games back, and we have 9 games head to head with LAD. If we go 6-3 against LAD, that means we have 11 weeks to make up the additional 6 games.

It would come down to the wire, but SD can still win the division.

Would love to catch the LAD ... but OK with just taking out ATL (5 games behind) for the first WC slot and get home advantage in round one. Take out LAD in the playoffs.

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