Quote from LynchMob on May 20, 2024, 6:29 pm

Quote from WindsorUK on May 20, 2024, 11:43 am

Manny F**KING Machado!!!!

'Bout time he showed up.

Has Manny turned the corner?  Maybe need more than 3 games in 2 days to tell 🙂

Until yesterday, he sure seemed to need some pine time ... and then I read that he still wasn't 100% healthy ... but .209 .252 .295 for OPS = .547 since April 2nd has been EXPENSIVE! 🙁

Quote from WindsorUK on May 20, 2024, 9:05 pm

All true but nice he came through in the clutch in game 1.

More of the same, please.

Quote from Jeremy Hill on May 20, 2024, 10:29 pm

I feel like Petco has gotten in the head of a few guys and they're pressing at home a little bit.

Manny is hitting .276/.345/.474 on the road.

At home he's at .196/.234/.265

Tatis is at .310/.389/.430 vs .183/.280/.409

Merrill is at .383/.407/.469 vs .183/.256/.296

Cronenworth is at .326/.386/.494 vs .213/.293/.449

I think some of it is mental. I also think they know they fell well short of expectations last year. I think some of them are feeling the pressure a little bit in front of the big home crowds.

Quote from fenn68 on May 21, 2024, 4:56 am

The Home vs Road differences are hard to analyze … explain … but looking at it a different way maybe the question is why are they doing so well on the road?

Offensively the Padres OPS at Home is .684 (.028 below MLB Home level) … and Road is .755 (.069 above MLB level). So sure doing poorer than the league at home but not by that much vs how much better they are doing than the league on the road.

Pitching is equally curious. Padres ERA at home is 4.58 (0.72 above MLB Home level) … and road is 3.35 (0.75 below MLB road level). That 1.23 better on the road is a lot. Should add that the WHIPs and BAA are about the same home and on the road.

So, Padres are significantly better than league stats for road games both hitting and pitching. At home, offense is somewhat lower than league average but it is the home ERA that is the real outlier … much worse than the league home ERA and much worse than the Padres’ road ERA. All that I guess takes out PETCO as the cause of reduced offense … clearly the opponents are scoring at PETCO.

Maybe just still a “small sample size” somewhat driven but the mix of home v road teams and hot vs cold runs by opponents? Encouraged by the both the offense/pitching on the Road and even at Home … the offense is not way out of line along with competitive WHIP/BAA … all that … over time … should turn around the ERA issue and yield more Home success … I hope.

Quote from fenn68 on May 21, 2024, 5:45 am

Along the same lines did a SD vs other MLB teams Home and Road … maybe a more insightful view when looking at the competitors.

Offense: Padres rank #13 at Home in wRC+ but well down on BA/OBP. Yet on the Road they are #3 overall and #1 in both BA/OBP. Maybe the Padres are not getting enough credit for the dominance on the Road and too much angst on the Home stats.

Pitching  Padres rank #26 at Home in ERA yet WHIP and BAA are better at #13 and #15 respectively. However, on the Road, ERA is #8 but WHIP and BAA against are worse at #12 and #12 respectively. Oddly looking at WHIP/BAA Home/Road the Padres are consistently mid-pack yet ERA (and runs win/lose games) the divergence in Home/Road is huge.

112 games to go … mix of teams will change … weather will change … players will change … a lot that will alter the look out of the first 50 games.  At least with all the “issues” with the Padres so far they are .500 and in the last Wild Card … so still positioned well.