Quote from MrPadre19 on December 21, 2018, 1:18 pm

Some really intriguing story lines lining up for the system this year.

Not limited too:

Can Alex Dickerson stay healthy and become a major league option?

Is Buddy Reed the hitter we saw at LE most of the season or the one we saw in AA or somewhere in

between?

What will we get from Anderson Espinoza?

Can Gore pitch a full season without blister issues?

 

Then there's the huge number of 19-21 year old position players to be excited about...it's amazing the number who could become top 100 players in the next couple years:

Esteury Ruiz,Hudson Potts,Juwuan Harris,Tucupita Marcano,Xavier Edwards,Jeison Rosario,Sean Guilbe,Owen Miller(22),Edward Olivares,Gabriel Arias,Grant Little,Tirso Ornelas,Luis Campusano,Nick Gatewood.

I know I just listed our entire lower level position players but it seems like that many have a chance to be for real.

Or is it just the Homer in me?

 

Quote from fenn68 on January 2, 2019, 3:11 pm

From MLB.com ... maybe something that has Austin Allen's prospect stock on the rise ... and may impact the strategy around Hedges and Mejia going forward:

The first installment of this new stats-based series examined 10 hitters who, based on specific batted-ball data from our Prospects Stats tool, seem poised for more success in 2019.

This week, we're breaking down a crop of last year's more successful hitters -- specifically, players who had the highest percentage of their line drives and fly balls go for hits. It's a roundabout way of highlighting which hitters drive the baseball the most effectively in absence of Statcast™ data.

2. Austin Allen, C/1B, Padres' No. 25 -- 30.0 percent
Spending all of 2018 in the Double-A Texas League, Allen totaled exactly 22 home runs and 31 doubles for a second straight year and finished second in the circuit in slugging (.506). The exit velocities he posted in the Arizona Fall League confirm that Allen hits the ball hard, and the 6-foot-2, left-handed hitter has long shown that he can get to his huge pull-side power during games. Meanwhile, Allen's overall production -- he was a .290/.351/.506 hitter in '18 -- stands to improve if he can make gains against same-side pitching.

Second best in MiLB no matter what the criteria for hitting the ball hard ... it is a good thing. With the dearth of hitting catchers has to have his stock rising even if still in need of development defensively. It will be interesting to see the balance line between offense / defense towards determining his future.

 

Quote from Booster SD on January 3, 2019, 11:51 am

Quote from fenn68 on January 2, 2019, 3:11 pm

From MLB.com ... maybe something that has Austin Allen's prospect stock on the rise ... and may impact the strategy around Hedges and Mejia going forward:

I actually mentioned this in a post the other day relating to why SD might be chasing after Realmuto. If they truly believe that Allen can be a solid mix of Hedges defense and Mejias bat, then only 2 years of control for JTR makes sense. Allen will mash in the hitters paradise of El Paso and then be ready to be the back up C in 2020, provided enough progress has been made on the defensive side. IMO Mejia will be one of the key pieces going to MIA, and then Hedges can be sent to a team in a package for a strong/mentor SP.

Quote from fenn68 on January 3, 2019, 1:09 pm

Quote from Booster SD on January 3, 2019, 11:51 am

Quote from fenn68 on January 2, 2019, 3:11 pm

From MLB.com ... maybe something that has Austin Allen's prospect stock on the rise ... and may impact the strategy around Hedges and Mejia going forward:

I actually mentioned this in a post the other day relating to why SD might be chasing after Realmuto. If they truly believe that Allen can be a solid mix of Hedges defense and Mejias bat, then only 2 years of control for JTR makes sense. Allen will mash in the hitters paradise of El Paso and then be ready to be the back up C in 2020, provided enough progress has been made on the defensive side. IMO Mejia will be one of the key pieces going to MIA, and then Hedges can be sent to a team in a package for a strong/mentor SP.

How they really project Allen taken in conjunction with how they really project Mejia (now that they have had up close and personal evaluation of him). Both seem to have a ton of IF around their defense and just may want to hold on to both considering top catchers are hard to come by ... and if their contention target is 2020-2022 big risk if the put all their hopes on either Mejia or Allen for the latter 2 years (post-Realmuto).

So, can they get Realmuto without dealing Mejia? If yes, then Hedges is a moveable part ... Mejia back-up / part time (2019) ... next winter (assuming Allen excels in AAA) ... decision on trading Realmuto (get some assets back) or deal Mejia or deal Allen. Probably hope they have Mejia / Allen in 2020-2022 in the ML and can score some decent talent back for Realmuto and have 2 "younger" catchers under long term control.

Quote from MrPadre19 on January 3, 2019, 2:47 pm

Having Relmuto for only two years doesn’t make much sense no matter what way you look at it.

It especially doesn’t make sense depending on the cost in prospects.

It certainly doesn’t make sense if the Padres truly don’t feel they will be a playoff caliber team until 2021.

If we feel having Stammen and Yates is a luxury and that we should trade them for pieces that will help us a few years down the line the same would immediately be true the day we acquire JT.

Plus we will be out prospects.

I’ll stick by my statement that the only reason to trade for Realmuto is if he is then traded for pitching help or a 3B we will have for more than 2 seasons.

 

 

Quote from David Jay on January 4, 2019, 11:56 am

For those looking to keep your organizational roster up-to-date over the winter, the Padres signed a few more relief arms to minor league contracts:

Righties Grant Sides and Ryan Colegate, who were both in the Indy Leagues in 2018, and lefty Eric Stout, who made a brief cameo in the big leagues for KC last summer.

Takes them to an even 300 players under contract from top to bottom, including the 28 IFA's signed for 2019 so far.

If memory serves, they headed into ST 2018 with ~314.

Quote from Henry Silvestre on January 4, 2019, 6:03 pm

Quote from David Nevin on January 3, 2019, 2:47 pm

Having Relmuto for only two years doesn’t make much sense no matter what way you look at it.

It especially doesn’t make sense depending on the cost in prospects.

It certainly doesn’t make sense if the Padres truly don’t feel they will be a playoff caliber team until 2021.

If we feel having Stammen and Yates is a luxury and that we should trade them for pieces that will help us a few years down the line the same would immediately be true the day we acquire JT.

Plus we will be out prospects.

I’ll stick by my statement that the only reason to trade for Realmuto is if he is then traded for pitching help or a 3B we will have for more than 2 seasons.

 

 

JT makes a lot of sense to me...IF we are abke to buy off his last 2 arb yrs and extend him+2yrs...so 19.20.21 and 22...i dont know whatnthw math would be but he isbprojected to make $6.1 mil in arb #2 for 19... So would 4/60 be a reasonable sum to buy out 2 arb yrs + 2 FA yrs?....this is the ONLY way JT makes sense to me..ttade and extend type compromise..

Quote from Commie on January 4, 2019, 7:16 pm

Thoughts on Eguy Rosario? 18-19 and getting a full year of abs in Hi-A and AA. Numbers aren't eye popping, but 4-5 years younger than league. Answers the bell. I saw comments fro from a SD scout a while back to the effect that he was hoping to be there when Rosario debuts at 22 or whatever.

A player we should be talking about more in terms of 2020+?

Quote from fenn68 on January 5, 2019, 7:27 am

Quote from Commie on January 4, 2019, 7:16 pm

Thoughts on Eguy Rosario? 18-19 and getting a full year of abs in Hi-A and AA. Numbers aren't eye popping, but 4-5 years younger than league. Answers the bell. I saw comments fro from a SD scout a while back to the effect that he was hoping to be there when Rosario debuts at 22 or whatever.

A player we should be talking about more in terms of 2020+?

Clearly a player we should keep watching ... a player placed in A+ at 18 suggests the organization sees upside. He will still just be 19 all of 2019 and it will be interesting to see if they start him in A+ to get him some statistical success before moving him up.