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Gabe Arias

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And again!

Gabriel Arias belted a two-run homer in the eighth to put an exclamation point on his best season as a pro. Arias finishes 2019 with a .302/.339/.470 slash-line and a career-high 17 homers. Arias still has a little too much swing-and-miss to his game and his walk rate is troubling but he made serious adjustments in the second half and could be a borderline top-100 prospect going into next season. He is one of the most improved players in the system this season.

3-for-5 with a HR in the last Storm game of the season ...

https://www.milb.com/gameday/storm-vs-rawhide/2019/09/14/602799#game_state=final,lock_state=final,game_tab=box,game=602799

This kid is exciting!

If his SS defense is as good as reported ... and he continues to hit .... we may see him in SD in 2021-22 bumping Tatis to the OF (despite his flash in the field ... Tatis grades out low in the defensive stats and his body type has always been projected taking him off SS).

San Diego Padres 2020 Top 50 Prospects

8. Gabriel Arias, 2B (‘19 Midseason Rank – 21)
Age: 19
2019 Highest Level: A+
2019 Stats: .302/.339/.463, 16 HR, 8 SB, 25 K%, 4.8 BB%
Much like Olivares, it has taken Arias a while to get going, but 2019 proved to be a breakout campaign for the infielder. His glove was always his calling-card but now he has shown some intriguing offensive potential to boot. He needs to take more walks and make more contact, but Arias carries a high floor to go along with some upside. He is still only 19 so there is still a lot of room to mature here. ETA: Late 2021

 

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/san-diego-padres-2020-top-10-mlb-prospects-chat/

Dave (San Diego):

    Gabriel Arias top 100 candidate with strong 1st half in AA as 20 yr old? His tools seem to be on par with Jeter Downs...

Kyle Glaser: Depends on what you mean by strong first half. If Arias shows power but is still swinging and missing 20 percent of the time, then no. If he cuts down the whiffs, then possibly. Arias' defensive tools are better than Downs and he has more raw power, but Downs is much faster and makes a lot more contact, which also means he gets to his power more in games, which is what really matters.

--

Dan (SD):

    How concerned should we be that Arias’ 2nd half breakout had a bb% around 5%? You don’t think pitchers in AA will take advantage of his lack of plate discipline? I’m getting Hudson Potts vibes

Kyle Glaser: Different issues. Potts' red flag was swinging and missing inside the zone, Arias' issue is him chasing out of the zone (particularly below it). If it's in the zone, Arias hits it. But you are correct that Double-A pitchers will eat Arias alive if he doesn't improve his strike-zone discipline. That's why you see a decently high number on him grade-wise, but also a higher risk grade on him than most prospects who hit .300 with 17 HR, 75 RBI and an .800 OPS at HiA at age 19.

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