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2026 Padre Season

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Agree that a deal for Arraez is not imminent but SF is currently 9 losses worse than the last wild card team and would have to pass 8 other teams to secure a wild card position ... a real long shot. So, at some point sooner than later, Posey will have to pull the plug and try to get anything for a FA to be in Arraez.

Would the Padres really be interested ... depends on what in the interim they see out of Cronenworth - Song - maybe Taylor - Castellanos (or the other bench pieces) combined with the impact of the resurgence (hopefully) of the core bats.

If this team implodes, and there doesn't appear to be any signs that they won't, I can't imagine Feliciano and Jones keeping Preller around. This abomination is 100% of his making. He's the one that's made the bad trades and bad FA signings( and of course the good ones but if they tank, no one will remember the good ones, especially since the good ones- Snell, Darvish, Musgrove are all gone, and Tatis stinks)

 

Next few weeks the Padres have some decisions to make.

  1. sounds as though Campusano is nearing a rehab and could be back in a week or so. Hopefully that will boost the offense as he likely will get at least equal playing time with Fermin. Duran will get optioned since he has not hit better than Fermin ... and Fermin does have a ML track record.
  2. Marquez is throwing bullpens ... same deal with a rehab and ready to be activated in 1-2 weeks ... no minor league options ... so?
  3. Waldron is apparently starting a throwing program and he too could be ready to return in a couple of weeks ... no minor league options ... some talk of him returning as a RP ... so?
  4. Pivetta / Musgrove appear to be a month+ away (IF they prove to be healthy) ... maybe more a issue setting up the trade deadline
  5. Cronenworth is a real concern ... not seeming soon as every time he starts to work intensively ... problems re-emerge. Months or shut down for the season for his own health?

Keep in mind on the pitchers (baring new injuries) Giolito, Canning, and Buehler can't be optioned from the starters and neither can Marinaccio out of the pen ... the other RP Padres probably would not want to option (the ones you could) for any of the arms coming off the IL.

So, Preller going to have to make some tough calls on players to DFA/release. Note that he cannot trade any FA signed last winter until Jun 15, so that hampers some of his trade options I guess or may delay activating Marquez and Waldron.

Side: Brito is completing his rehab in SA and will come off the 60 day IL soon ... has an option so likely assigned to EP as a SP ... but that will require a 40 man roster move as an offset. All does tie together.

May is now in the books and after a good result in Mar-Apr (19-11), May became a losing month (13-15).

Offense (OPS) in May was 29th in MLB (.616) slightly lower than Mar-Apr sending YTD down to .656 (also 29th). "Average" for ML teams is just over .700 this season so far.

Pitching (ERA) in May was 13th in MLB (3.59). That sends YTD down to 3.92 (13th). Breaking down the YTD: Starters 4.63 (24th), Relievers 3.07 (2nd).

Long season to go but being 29th in offense and 13th in pitching does not spell a playoff team. The current record is somewhat a product of a string of remarkable late inning comebacks early in the season ... that seems to have come to and end.

Still expect the offense to materially improve based on the "stars" rebounding ... but cautious on the "others" siding backwards. Pitching has me worried ... SP is weak (King and Vasquez in May were more like mid-rotation SP) and the rest are less than average. RP has been the strength but are being use heavily and we have seen that level of work tends to burn out enough of the arms to make the overall less effective. At this point nothing coming to really help and frankly nothing to trade to get a major boost with multiple adds.

June is going to be pivotal.

It looks as if Jase Bowen is being called up according to MLBTR. There needs to be a corresponding 40 man move, should be interesting if it Castellanos or Bryce Johnson that is sacrificed or some other move.

Whelp, Kyle Glazer certainly isn't holding back. This is a "five alarm fire" for our offense. I knew we were down to the bottom 3 in AVG, OBP, and SLG, but I didn't realize we also were at the bottom of the league in those categories against every type of pitch. According to Glazer (I haven't looked it up myself), we're 2nd to last against fastballs, worst against breaking pitches, and 3rd worst against offspeed. We are the worst against every type of pitch, against every type of pitcher, in every situation in every ballpark in the league. Simply put, it's the kind of "bad" that absolutely necessitates a complete and immediate reset on process, top to bottom, from the front office to the dugout.

  • What information is being communicated?
  • Is it being communicated?
  • How is it being communicated?
  • What is the pregame work?
  • What is being done in the cages and on the field?
  • What is being analyzed and conveyed and worked on mechanically?
  • What is the approach?
  • What is the philosophy?
  • How are we preparing hitters for pitchers?
  • How are we adjusting between at bats?

Reset ALL of it, or watch the season slide quickly into oblivion. Honestly, it feels rare for a team to feature so many hitters performing so far below their career norms across the board at once, and to result in an offense so comprehensively inept against everyone and everything they face. It's not a secret that our hitters have been shocked more than a few times about how they've been attacked by pitchers, which speaks directly to the kind of prep they're receiving. And say what you will about blaming hitting coaches, but this staff has been completely incapable of helping our hitters adjust and correct.

We're coming off the worst offensive month for runs scored since 2017. You have to go back to 2015 to find a worse month. And now we've started June with one of the most frustrating offensive games we've seen all season. Feels hard to disagree with Kyle at this point.

What does a trade for Arraez, a 2-3 month rental, look like?

Would the Giants accept Song or Matsui? Maybe paired with a non prospect type?

Instead of patching holes in a sinking ship, I wouldn't be surprised to see salaries moved, in order to create more flexibility going forward. And at some point, start gathering prospects ourselves!

 

Quote from WindsorUK on May 25, 2026, 4:05 pm

Bases loaded, no one out....Machado-K, Merrill-K.....are you kidding me???

If we lose this game, I'd expect to see some drastic changes ( read: bench the stiffs that aren't producing)

***********************

First Bowen, now Taylor, with Castellanos going. I'm not sure this is drastic enough. Interested to see the next domino to fall?

 

I guess when Campy is ready, Fermin might make a DL visit?

How many years does Jake have on his deal?

Quote from WindsorUK on June 3, 2026, 10:34 pm

I guess when Campy is ready, Fermin might make a DL visit?

How many years does Jake have on his deal?

After this season, 4 more years at $12.3MM per year.

Cronenworth was originally hit in the head on April 18 and has yet to resume baseball activities ... 6 weeks and not recovered is a bad sign that may suggest a much longer absence.

I never want to see a player get injured and potentially finish his career ... but in the worst case scenario might see a buyout for "early retirement" ... no idea if they have insurance on Croney.

I do want Croney back ... hopefully at this 2025 level which was good for ML 2B. Would put Tatis back in RF for 2027 ... remember with Castellanos gone and in 2027 Laureano, Andujar, and France FA will already be seeking hitters without anything coming in house. Add the need to replace 5 FA pitchers and potentially 4 more who could opt out ... finding a upgrade for Croney would not be the highest priority.

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