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Nomar Mazara
#11 · July 12, 2022, 2:57 pm
Given the current projection of the 2023 OF … how hard would the Padres go in the pursuit to re-sign Mazara.
The good is his all around play against RHP, is only 27.
However, we are still in that “small sample size” zone and is having a career season.
The Mazara - Preller link is good and likely Mazara would like to build on his success here (remembering his time with the CWS/DET).
So would expect both sides to be “interested” … now at what price … since I would think this will still be considered a gamble for the Padres (low salary / shorter duration) vs Mazara’s desire for a deal a bit more salary / longer duration in a market that MAY embrace his 2022 more given the overall shortage of OF bats. How much of a drag is his lack of work vs LHP … just part time … and with Myers returning probably will continue to play vs RHP only.
At 27, Mazara could sign a multi-year deal (2-3) and still be out early enough after establishing better credentials and prosper in FA. If does not maintain (improve) he has gained security of a granted deal for a few years. Would that help keep a Mazara overall CBT price down? Note that after his TEX time he had a contract somewhere between $5-6MM followed by a deal $3-4MM.
FA at the end of the season, so Padres can’t just wait to see what else turns up before turning to Mazara … he is not going to wait if he gets a decent effort.
? 2 years plus an option with incentive since it will take a couple of years for the internal options are fully integrated (Hassell, Wood, Ruiz). $3MM base?
#12 · July 12, 2022, 3:27 pm
Assuming .280-.310 BA.. .750-.800 OPS current pace he fluctuates between currently... (after the season )... I can see a 2 yrs $4.75 mil per with a +1 Team option $6.50 mil or .500k buyout.. in essence 3/15
Would still be able to cash in a Big paycheck if he put together 3 seasons of near or over .800 OPS.. after his age 30 season.... could be a nice Vet influence for the OFers.. and a David Peralta type player for us... DH/RF/LF...
#13 · July 13, 2022, 12:41 am
Don't want to burst your Nomar Mazara bubble, but despite some good days at the plate so far, there are some red flags. Unless you believe in the age 27 jump in skills, his H% and BABIP are likely at unsustainable rates for him since they are far above his career numbers. Currently, his HctX is less than 75, which means he is 25% below in hard contact rate from the average major leaguer. Yes, his wRC+ is hovering around 128, but it has never been above 100 in his entire major league career. Therefore, expect some regression but hope that the growth in skills stabilizes at a higher than historical level for him so that we have at least one major platoon hitter in our arsenal heading down the wild card stretch. I'm hoping that he at least reaches the average major league level for HctX (100); if he does that then you will see a few more extra base hits and even some HRs that have so far been lacking. In his prior 6 years in the majors, Mazara has never attained a BA of at least .280. He has reached .750 OPS twice, 753 (2018) and 786 (2019). Let's see what the next month brings - I hope I am wrong in my analysis because they need Mazara to perform at his current level.
David Peralta was/is a much better offensive player than Mazara has been when comparing their respective careers.
#14 · July 13, 2022, 3:22 am
The considerations on Mazara for Preller are alternatives and price. Going into the winter Mazara, Profar, and Myers are FA and Grisham has lost his starting credentials.
Not easy or cheap to replace all three along with re-signing pitching … so Mazara’s resigning at a comparative low cost has to be in play even if he regresses to his TEX production level.
Will there be better FA (trade targets) than Mazara … sure but Preller has to build a full roster and he has to make some compromises / gambles.
#15 · July 13, 2022, 5:29 am
Quote from Randy Manese on July 13, 2022, 12:41 amDon't want to burst your Nomar Mazara bubble, but despite some good days at the plate so far, there are some red flags. Unless you believe in the age 27 jump in skills, his H% and BABIP are likely at unsustainable rates for him since they are far above his career numbers. Currently, his HctX is less than 75, which means he is 25% below in hard contact rate from the average major leaguer. Yes, his wRC+ is hovering around 128, but it has never been above 100 in his entire major league career. Therefore, expect some regression but hope that the growth in skills stabilizes at a higher than historical level for him so that we have at least one major platoon hitter in our arsenal heading down the wild card stretch. I'm hoping that he at least reaches the average major league level for HctX (100); if he does that then you will see a few more extra base hits and even some HRs that have so far been lacking. In his prior 6 years in the majors, Mazara has never attained a BA of at least .280. He has reached .750 OPS twice, 753 (2018) and 786 (2019). Let's see what the next month brings - I hope I am wrong in my analysis because they need Mazara to perform at his current level.
David Peralta was/is a much better offensive player than Mazara has been when comparing their respective careers.
Do you know his story?.. last season he "stepped out" of the game did not go back to the minors..completely stopped playing... went to Florida and spent 1/2 a year working with a hitting guru.. completely changed his mental/physical game and approach at the plane.. the results are a new and improved version of himself... cant judge Mazara on what he did or didn't do prior to 2022... He is not the same player.. His data needs to reflect that.. so we need more of it...