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MadFriars Top 30 For 2024: Wilkens Edition

Fangraphs just dropped its 2024 Top 100 … Padre prospects (if I got it correct):

#5.  Salas

#30.  Merrill (bit lower than most lists)

#38.  De Vries (bold placement for never having played stateside)

#61.   Iriate (bit higher than most lists)

#73.   Thorpe (we “underestimating” this trade add?)

#76.   Lesko

Did not see Snelling who lands on most Top 100 lists … not sure what they do not like in him.

Fangraphs also didn't put Snelling on their list of Padres prospects who can help them in the immediate future and still hasn't published the Padres Top 30 or more for this year.

If you go over to the Zips 2024 projection, which is explained as more data-driven than scouting report driven, you get:

#9.   Merrill

#41.  Lesko

#58.  Snelling

#63.  Salas

#71.  Thorpe

#99.  Jagger Haynes!

The biggest differences are in the Snelling/Salas ratings, who both happen to be the youngest on the lists.  I'm wary of putting Salas so high with so few reps in the minors but also feel Fangraphs underestimated the competitive drive of Snelling which will allow him to develop at least to the #58 rating next year and maybe higher.

MadFriars Top 20 for 2024

https://www.mlb.com/prospects/padres/

1
Photo headshot of Ethan Salas
Ethan Salas
C

San Diego Padres
AA
2025 17 6' 2" / 185 lbs L R
2
Photo headshot of Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SS

San Diego Padres
AA
2024 20 6' 3" / 195 lbs L R
3
Photo headshot of Robby Snelling
Robby Snelling
LHP

San Diego Padres
AA
2025 20 6' 3" / 210 lbs R L
4
Photo headshot of Dylan Lesko
Dylan Lesko
RHP

San Diego Padres
A+
2026 20 6' 2" / 195 lbs R R
5
Photo headshot of Drew Thorpe
Drew Thorpe
RHP

San Diego Padres
AA
2024 23 6' 4" / 212 lbs L R
6
Photo headshot of Leodalis De Vries
Leodalis De Vries
SS

San Diego Padres
ROK
2028 17 6' 2" / 183 lbs S R
7
Photo headshot of Samuel Zavala
Samuel Zavala
OF

San Diego Padres
A+
2025 19 6' 1" / 175 lbs L L
8
Photo headshot of Jairo Iriarte
Jairo Iriarte
RHP

San Diego Padres
AAA
2024 22 6' 2" / 160 lbs R R
9
Photo headshot of Dillon Head
Dillon Head
OF

San Diego Padres
A
2027 19 6' 0" / 185 lbs L L
10
Photo headshot of Adam Mazur
Adam Mazur
RHP

San Diego Padres
AA
2025 22 6' 2" / 180 lbs R R
11
Photo headshot of Graham Pauley
Graham Pauley
3B/2B/OF

San Diego Padres
AA
2025 23 6' 1" / 200 lbs L R
12
Photo headshot of Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
OF

San Diego Padres
AA
2024 22 6' 0" / 180 lbs L L
13
Photo headshot of Ryan Bergert
Ryan Bergert
RHP

San Diego Padres
AA
2024 23 6' 1" / 210 lbs R R
14
Photo headshot of Homer Bush Jr.
Homer Bush Jr.
OF

San Diego Padres
AA
2026 22 6' 3" / 200 lbs R R
15
Photo headshot of Randy Vásquez
Randy Vásquez
RHP

San Diego Padres
MLB
2024 25 6' 0" / 165 lbs R R
16
Photo headshot of Eguy Rosario
Eguy Rosario
3B/2B

San Diego Padres
MLB
2024 24 5' 7" / 150 lbs R R
17
Photo headshot of Nathan Martorella
Nathan Martorella
1B/OF

San Diego Padres
AA
2025 23 6' 1" / 224 lbs L L
18
Photo headshot of Austin Krob
Austin Krob
LHP

San Diego Padres
AA
2025 24 6' 3" / 205 lbs L L
19
Photo headshot of Victor Lizarraga
Victor Lizarraga
RHP

San Diego Padres
A+
2025 20 6' 3" / 180 lbs R R
20
Photo headshot of Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon Valenzuela
C

San Diego Padres
AA
2025 23 6' 0" / 225 lbs S R
21
Photo headshot of J.D. Gonzalez
J.D. Gonzalez
C

San Diego Padres
ROK
2027 18 6' 0" / 182 lbs L R
22
Photo headshot of Marcos Castañon
Marcos Castañon
3B/2B

San Diego Padres
AA
2024 24 6' 0" / 195 lbs R R
23
Photo headshot of Alek Jacob
Alek Jacob
RHP

San Diego Padres
MLB
2024 25 6' 3" / 190 lbs L R
24
Photo headshot of Stephen Kolek
Stephen Kolek
RHP

San Diego Padres
MLB
2024 26 6' 3" / 210 lbs R R
25
Photo headshot of Braden Nett
Braden Nett
RHP

San Diego Padres
A
2025 21 6' 3" / 185 lbs R R
26
Photo headshot of Cole Paplham
Cole Paplham
RHP

San Diego Padres
AA
2025 23 6' 3" / 215 lbs R R
27
Photo headshot of Jagger Haynes
Jagger Haynes
LHP

San Diego Padres
A
2026 21 6' 3" / 170 lbs L L
28
Photo headshot of Isaiah Lowe
Isaiah Lowe
RHP

San Diego Padres
A
2026 20 6' 1" / 220 lbs R R
29
Photo headshot of Lamar King Jr.
Lamar King Jr.
C

San Diego Padres
ROK
2026 20 6' 3" / 215 lbs R R
30
Photo headshot of Kannon Kemp
Kannon Kemp
RHP

San Diego Padres
ROK
2027 19 6' 6" / 225 lbs R R

Looking at the new Pipeline list … no major shocks.

4 dropped off the final 2023 list: Verdugo (21); Hawkins (23); Reynolds (27); Cedeno (30)

2 notable drops: Valenzuela (10 to 20) and King (20 to 29) … not surprising on Valenzuela given his lack of hitting and on King given his minimal work in rookie ball.

4 added: DeVries (6); Nett (25); Paplham (26); Kemp (30)

1 notable rise: Bergert (18 to 13)

the rest is just minor shuffling.

Maybe could make a case for some others to sneak into the bottom of this list but not sure who I would drop … so I guess that is even better for the future since the bottom of the list is not littered with older filler as often happens with system lacking depth.

Bergert has definitely grabbed my attention a bit this spring. I'd love to see what he can do sometime this season.

LynchMob has reacted to this post.
LynchMob

2024 Top 100 Prospects

FanGraphs has added DeVries at #38 ...

38 Leodalis De Vries SDP 17.3 R SS 2030 50

An ETA of 2030 was a bit shocking to see ... and ... uh ... realistic, perhaps 🙂

FG's current Top 10 ...

2024 Top Prospects▼

Name Level ETA Ovr Rank Org Rank FV
Ethan Salas A+ 2026 10 1 60
Leodalis De Vries A 2030 60 2 50
Kash Mayfield 2029 3 45
Brandon Valenzuela AA 2025 5 40+
Francis Pena AA 2025 7 40+
Isaiah Lowe A+ 2027 8 40
Tirso Ornelas AAA 2024 9 40
Kannon Kemp 2029 11 40
Humberto Cruz 2030 12 40

DeVries ETA 2030?

Somehow I think he debuts before that.

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