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Padres at Guardians: July 19-21
#1 · July 18, 2024, 1:35 pm
RHP Matt Waldron vs RHP Tanner Bibee
RHP Dylan Cease vs RHP Gavin Williams
RHP Michael King vs RHP Ben Lively
The Padres open the unofficial second half with a 9-game road trip against the Guardians, Nationals, and Orioles. Then they return home to face the rival Dodgers for two games to finish the month. They have lost 6 of the last 7 games, are 7 games back of the first place Dodgers, in 3rd place a few percentage points behind the Dbacks and 1 game out of the wild card race.
The Guardians will be tough and have played much better in their own stadium than on the road. They have a 30-11 home record. The Padres pitching will be facing a healthy offense with Kwan as their best hitter with a .352 avg. José Ramírez leads the Guardians wih 23 HR, 77 RBI and with Josh Naylor second with 22 HR, 70 RBI.
NL West Standings and Games
Dodgers(56-41) vs Red Sox(53-42)
Dbacks(49-48) at Cubs(47-51) 7 games back
Padres(50-49) at Guardians(58-37) 7 games back
Giants(47-50) at Rockies(34-63) 9 games back. Rockies are done
Current Wild Card Standings and Games
Braves(53-42) vs Cardinals(50-46)
Cardinals(50-46) at Braves(53-42)
Mets(40-46) at Marlins(33-63)
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Dbacks(49-48) at Cubs(47-51) 1 game out of the playoffs
Padres(50-49) at Guardians(58-37) 1 game out of the playoffs
GO PADRES!
#2 · July 18, 2024, 5:33 pm
I believe Shildt will have them prepared for the push toward a playoff spot. While we might see some regression by some position players (possibly Profar), most of the offensive arrows should point upward as players recover from injuries, hitting in bad luck and generally maturing into their roles. The difficult part seems to get enough healthy and competent arms in the bullpen - I can see a free agent signing or a trade to shore that up, unless Cosgrove and Jacob recover from their injuries. Darkhorses here may be Omar Cruz and Francis Pena. Anyone of value may cost us at least one of our top 5 players, with Salas as the only untouchable.
Im hoping that we get a more consistent second half from Cease and King and get some production down the stretch from Musgrove and Darvish before it is too late to latch onto a playoff spot. I see 2024 and 2025 as the best windows of opportunity for a playoff spot in the short run, so hope we can keep the team healthy and productive AND have a little or a lot of good fortune come our way.
#3 · July 19, 2024, 9:50 am
Today's game is on Apple TV. We've got 11 games before the deadline with 8 against current division leaders. We've got 6 games against the Rockies, 6 against the Pirates and 3 against the Marlins in our first 15 games in August. Keep it steady until the deadline, get some reinforcements and go on a run.
#4 · July 19, 2024, 6:46 pm
Waldron again pitching great!
And someone obviously forgot the bats in San Diego. Yeesh.....
#5 · July 19, 2024, 6:51 pm
Quote from Jeremy Hill on July 19, 2024, 9:50 amToday's game is on Apple TV. We've got 11 games before the deadline with 8 against current division leaders. We've got 6 games against the Rockies, 6 against the Pirates and 3 against the Marlins in our first 15 games in August. Keep it steady until the deadline, get some reinforcements and go on a run.
Or.....with as bad a spell as our bats go through( 5,6 game droughts scoring 5 runs total, etc...), maybe we become sellers?
Cease, Kim, Higashioka, Cronenworth, Suarez, Arraez, Solano.....guys that other teams might be interested in, that could possibly bring back something of value( near or long term)
Musgrove, Darvish, Bogaerts are here for the long run. And no way am I even considering moving Manny or FTJ.
#6 · July 19, 2024, 7:12 pm
Waldron pitched a great game. But, he got no run support.
I would like to know why Shildt did not bring in Estrada? All active players were well rested. Everyone should have been available. I would think that being down 1-0, bringing in Estrada is a no brainer.
The Padres were 6 games above .500 and now they are back to .500. They are a .500 team.
#7 · July 20, 2024, 4:18 am
Losing 7-0 vs 1-0 is still the same in the standings. More upset about the lack of offense from the #1 team in the NL in BA … Padres could only muster 4 hits (2 Arraez / 2 Cronenworth) … the rest zip … Merrill 4 Ks.
Padres now fall 3 games in the loss column behind the last WC slot (Mets who have been playing extremely well for the past month) and 4 games in the loss column behind STL sitting just ahead of NYM. Both AZ and PITT are two fewer losses than SD … so on that basis the Padres are in 9th place in the NL. 3 games out is not insurmountable but passing three other teams with better records with 62 games to go … more of a challenge since at least one of them should continue to win. Note that CINN and SF are only 1 loss behind SD … Cubs 2 losses and WASH 3 losses … so potentially any one of them could get hot and zip past the Padres to contend for the WC.
This road trip … if it results in the Padres playing sub-.500 … falling further behind the WC teams and setting up more teams between them and the WC should make life difficult for Preller in the buy-sell-hold decision at the trade deadline. How far behind … how many teams ahead would trigger the Padres to be sellers?
With very little to trade off the farm (at last of any significant impact to another team) and the payroll limits … plus at least the promise of Tatis, Musgrove, and Darvish returning … would expect a “hold” … try for the long shot comeback … save the trades for the winter.
#8 · July 20, 2024, 4:51 am
Wonder what the Padres view as a realistic return (timeline, effectiveness) for Tatis (out since Jun 21), Musgrove (May 26), and Darvish (May 29).
Does not seem any will be back for at least until after the trade deadline. No idea on Darvish and really concerned that Musgrove (if he does not re-injure his elbow during rehab) will not be either effective or re-injury before the end of the season. Darvish and Musgrove will have been idle for over 2 months … close to needing a ST type rebuild if they return.
#9 · July 20, 2024, 7:01 pm
For the 2nd day in a row, the starting pitching was outstanding. Cease pitches 7IP, 10K and 1 hit. Let's hope King can continue the solid pitching tomorrow. The BP held and the bats came alive. Now, Let's win the rubber match game tomorrow for the series.
#10 · July 20, 2024, 9:23 pm
Am I crazy or do we seem to never win on Sunday?