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2025 Padres Season

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Looking ahead,  we'll miss Kershaw in the Dodgers series but get Yamamoto instead.  Snell and Glasnow appear to be the other two starters against us so at least we'll face only one LH SP vice two, which should give us a better chance at victories with our current line-up.  However, we have to get more out of Darvish and a lot more out of Cortes to win the series - hope both are on their games along with Pivetta.  Let's first take the series against SF today!  GO PADRES!

MrPadre19 has reacted to this post.
MrPadre19

Question for the group:

Would you rather finish as the 2 or 3 seed?

I prefer finishing as the #3 seed rather than the #2 seed.  It seems the top 2 seeds that receive the byes suffer for not playing for a week, obviously, the LA Duds were able to overcome it last year, as they squeaked by the Pads in the 5 game series after being down 2 games to 1.

I think we could take care of the NY Muts in a 3 game series at Petco.  Then draw the Phils in a 5 gamer, minus Zach Wheeler.  Chris Sanchez is a stud LHSP and will be tough to beat.  We can compete against RHSP Aaron Nola and LHSPs Ranger Suarez and Jesus Luzardo or possibly RHSP Taijaun Walker.  Can't let Schwarber and Harper beat us, pitch very carefully to them.

Assuming the other half of the NL bracket will be the Cubs hosting the Duds with the winner to take on the Brewers.

Go Pads!

I prefer winning the division…..😉

I would opt to win the Division and have a better record than PHIL (not likely get a better record than MILW) ... getting the #2 slot ... and avoid a 3 game elimination series ... and get the home field advantage in next round. Padres do play better at home and avoiding the 3 game elimination round helps rest and set up the most advantageous rotation. Odd things can happen in a short series.

If don't get the#2 slot ... #3 or #4 gets home for the 3 game elimination series. Still too early to make the call but now #3 would get the METS but with over 30 games that match-up with #3 could still be LAD, Cubs, and even a run by CINN if the METS or LAD really tank (they have been playing poorly so that is a possibility).

Just keep winning and make the playoffs ... stay healthy ... and let the chips fall where the may.

Jeremy Hill has reacted to this post.
Jeremy Hill
Quote from MrPadre19 on August 24, 2025, 7:05 am

I prefer winning the division…..😉

Only the division winners with the top 2 records get the byes in each league into the 5 game series round. The division winner with the worst record gets to host the wild card with the worst record for a 3 game series, so we could win the division and potentially still be the #3 seed in tournament baseball.  Go Pads!

Understanding that past records do not predict future performance BUT can make some better projections on how the standings may end up if we look at how the contenders have played in the 2nd half (just over 30 games) ... Padres have 31 games remaining. Consider NL recent performance:

  1. 25-10 ... MILW ... +15
  2. 22-13 ... PADRES ... +9
  3. 21-13 ... PHIL ... +8
  4. 19-16 ... CUBS ... +3
  5. 16-18 ... LAD ... -2
  6. 14-19 ... NYM ... -5
  7. 18-16 ... CINN ... +2

Observations:

Padres are currently (in the loss column) behind MILW (7 games) and PHIL (3 games) ... so looking at recent performance very unlikely they catch MILW and going to be very hard to to catch PHIL for the #2 playoff slot.

IF the Padres don't win the NL West ... they look to be in a battle with the CUBS (2 games ahead of the Padres now) ... and passing them is very possible for #4.

However, winning the NL West is the best option and now tied with LAD but the differential between the LAD and SD over the 2nd half is a whopping 11 games ... so reason to be optimistic.

What should be interesting to watch is will LAD or the NYM hold a Wild Card slot against a CINN team that is playing well. METS could be in a real trouble and the LAD might be on the bubble although likely the METS falling out protects LAD playoff status. Two biggest payrolls ... failing in the second half and barely holding on to playoff slots.

A lot of storylines over the next 30 games ...

From the week-in-review for El Paso ...

Randy Vásquez, 26, had a nice outing in his lone appearance, throwing five shutout innings, while allowing only a pair of hits and two walks and striking out two.

Vasquez has been a solid SP all year. A few wiggles along the way but after Pivetta, certainly our best starter.

He's gotta be in line for the rotation next year, after Darvish, Musgrove, King, Miller.

Here's something to track the rest of the way. Laureano is hitting .300 which would put him behind only Freddie Freeman at .302 if he had the PAs to qualify. With 29 games to go he needs 117 PAs to qualify. That's 1 PA over a 4 per game average. If he keeps hitting he could have an outside shot at the batting title.

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WindsorUK
Quote from Jeremy Hill on August 27, 2025, 9:29 am

Here's something to track the rest of the way. Laureano is hitting .300 which would put him behind only Freddie Freeman at .302 if he had the PAs to qualify. With 29 games to go he needs 117 PAs to qualify. That's 1 PA over a 4 per game average. If he keeps hitting he could have an outside shot at the batting title.

The rest of the team would need to hit as well, since he hits lower in the line up. There is an outside chance that it could happen.

Imagine, back to back BA titles from SD, and not named Gwynn!

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