Quote from hoffy51 on September 19, 2018, 5:31 pm

This is a beautiful

Quote from LynchMob on September 22, 2018, 12:32 pm

Here's the ZiPS projection from fangraphs ... those batting averages and OBPs are a bit sobering ...

https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/elegy-for-18-san-diego-padres/

ZiPS Projections – Fernando Tatis Jr.

Year	BA	OBP	SLG	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	OPS+	DR	WAR
2019	.224	.288	.398	518	71	116	20	5	20	78	42	197	19	95	-2	1.5
2020	.238	.311	.442	504	75	120	22	6	23	85	49	187	16	110	-1	2.8
2021	.247	.323	.498	506	80	125	22	6	31	94	52	181	16	121	-1	4.1
2022	.245	.325	.496	506	80	124	22	6	31	93	55	187	15	122	-1	4.1
2023	.244	.325	.501	505	81	123	22	6	32	94	56	187	15	123	-1	4.2
2024	.240	.324	.493	499	80	120	21	6	31	92	57	187	15	121	-1	4.0
2025	.237	.323	.486	490	78	116	20	6	30	89	58	184	13	119	-2	3.7

Quote from WindsorUK on September 23, 2018, 12:46 am

Those are Hunter Renfroe numbers.

Not bad but would have expected more from baseballs top prospect.

Quote from Ryan Payne on September 23, 2018, 8:08 pm

The problem with projections is that in the case of Tatis, you have limited data to extrapolate from. As I understand it, these are median projections - Not an absolute that he will hit .224 or .241. I'm pretty sure if he ends up being a 4.5 WAR player by his early 20's, nobody will be complaining.

Quote from sportwarrior on September 24, 2018, 12:47 pm

Quote from Ryan Payne on September 23, 2018, 8:08 pm

The problem with projections is that in the case of Tatis, you have limited data to extrapolate from. As I understand it, these are median projections - Not an absolute that he will hit .224 or .241. I'm pretty sure if he ends up being a 4.5 WAR player by his early 20's, nobody will be complaining.

That's my understanding, too. Just as they don't account for a potential crater/plateau in AAA, they don't account for additional growth and development. They just kind of extrapolate based on what we've seen so far, which isn't really a great way to realistically project the career of a 21 year old prospect.

They're more just for fun than anything else, really.

Quote from LynchMob on November 14, 2018, 11:38 pm

https://www.mlb.com/padres/news/fernando-tatis-jr-hits-winter-league-home-run/c-300745204

Quote from padscharg on November 19, 2018, 10:22 am

Tatis went deep again yesterday and now has 2 HRs and 2 SBs through 4 games

http://mlb.mlb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?sid=l131&t=g_box&gid=2018_11_18_estwin_torwin_1

 

Here's the video:

https://www.mlb.com/cut4/padres-fernando-tatis-jr-hit-a-massive-home-run/c-300896822

 

 

Quote from MrPadre19 on November 19, 2018, 11:34 am

I wonder what the White Sox fans think when they see Tatis in the top 5 on every prospect list?

And videos like this.....

 

Quote from Commie on November 19, 2018, 12:42 pm

Quote from David Nevin on November 19, 2018, 11:34 am

I wonder what the White Sox fans think when they see Tatis in the top 5 on every prospect list?

And videos like this.....

 

Same thing we think when Corey Kluber takes the mound for CLE and dominates.